LIBERAL (as of 25 Mar)
SAFE (> 10 pt ahead) = 42
>>> absolute minimum = 42 seats
STRONG (5-10 pt ahead) = 15
>>> likely low = 57 seats
LEANING (< 5 pt ahead) = 12
>>> current projection = 69 seats
CLOSE (< 5 pts behind) = 23
>>> likely high = 92 seats
POSSIBLE (5-10 pts behind) = 11
>>> absolute maximum = 103 seats
(42) SAFE (> 10 pt ahead)
NB Beausejour
(1)
NL Bonavista-Gander-Grand Falls-Windsor
NL Humber-St. Barbe-Baie Verte
NL Labrador
NL Random-Burin-St. George’s
(4)
NS Cape Breton-Canso
NS Dartmouth-Cole Harbour
NS Halifax West
NS Kings-Hants
NS Sydney-Victoria
(5)
ON Davenport
ON Don Valley East
ON Etobicoke North
ON Markham-Unionville
ON Mississauga East-Cooksville
ON Ottawa South
ON Ottawa-Vanier
ON Pickering-Scarborough East
ON Scarborough-Agincourt
ON Scarborough Centre
ON Scarborough-Guildwood
ON Scarborough-Rouge River
ON St. Paul’s
ON Toronto Centre
ON York South-Weston
ON York West
(16)
PE Cardigan
PE Charlottetown
(2)
QC Bourassa
QC Honore-Mercier
QC Hull-Aylmer
QC Lac-Saint-Louis
QC Lasalle-Emard
QC Laval-Les Iles
QC Mont Royal
QC Notre-Dame-de-Grace-Lachine
QC Pierrefonds-Dollard
QC Saint-Laurent-Cartierville
QC Saint-Leonard-Saint-Michel
QC Westmount-Ville Marie
(12)
SK Wascana
(1)
YT Yukon
(1)
(15) STRONG (5-10 pt ahead)
BC Newton-North Delta
BC Vancouver Centre
BC Vancouver-Quadra
MB Winnipeg South Centre
NB Madawaska-Restigouche
NL St. John’s South-Mount Pearl
ON Beaches-East York
ON Etobicoke Centre
ON Etobicoke-Lakeshore
ON Mississauga-Brampton South
ON Nipissing-Timiskaming
ON Parkdale-High Park
ON Richmond Hill
ON Scarborough Southwest
ON Willowdale
(12) LEANING (< 5 pt ahead)
BC Vancouver South
NL Avalon
ON Ajax-Pickering
ON Bramalea-Gore-Malton
ON Don Valley West
ON Eglinton-Lawrence
ON Kingston & the Islands
ON London North Centre
ON Mississauga-Streetsville
ON York Centre
QC Brossard-La Prairie
QC Papineau
(23) CLOSE (< 5 pts behind)
BC Esquimalt-Juan de Fuca
BC North Vancouver
BC Vancouver-Kingsway
MB Winnipeg North
NB Moncton-Riverview-Dieppe
ON Brampton-Springdale
ON Brampton West
ON Guelph
ON Kitchener-Conestoga
ON Kitchener-Waterloo
ON Mississauga-Erindale
ON Mississauga South
ON Oak Ridges-Markham
ON Sudbury
ON Trinity-Spadina
ON Vaughan
PE Egmont
PE Malpeque
QC Ahuntsic
QC Brome-Missisquoi
QC Gatineau
QC Haute-Gaspesie-La Mitis-Matane-Matapedia
QC Jeanne-Le Ber
(11) POSSIBLE (5-10 pts behind)
BC Saanich-Gulf Islands
MB Saint Boniface
NB Saint John
NB Miramichi
NS West Nova
NU Nunavut
ON London West
ON Thunder Bay-Rainy River
ON Welland
QC Outremont
QC Pontiac