PRE-WRIT RIDING BREAKDOWN – NDP

NDP (as of 25 Mar)

SAFE (> 10 pt ahead) = 17
>>> absolute minimum = 17 seats
STRONG (5-10 pt ahead) = 8
>>> likely low = 25 seats
LEANING (< 5 pt ahead) = 8
>>> current projection = 32 seats
CLOSE (< 5 pts behind) = 7
>>> likely high = 40 seats
POSSIBLE (5-10 pts behind) = 5
>>> absolute maximum = 45 seats

(17) SAFE (> 10 pt ahead)
BC Burnaby-New Westminster
BC Vancouver East
BC Victoria
MB Churchill
MB Winnipeg Centre
NB Acadie-Bathurst
NL St. John’s East
NS Sackville-Eastern Shore
ON Algoma-Manitoulin-Kapuskasing
ON Hamilton Centre
ON Hamilton East-Stoney Creek
ON Nickel Belt
ON Ottawa Centre
ON Timmins-James Bay
ON Toronto-Danforth
ON Windsor-Tecumseh
ON Windsor West

(8) STRONG (5-10 pt ahead)
BC B.C. Southern Interior
BC New Westminster-Coquitlam
BC Skeena-Bulkley Valley
NS Halifax
ON Hamilton Mountain
ON London-Fanshawe
ON Thunder Bay-Rainy River
QC Outremont

(8) LEANING (< 5 pt ahead)
AB Edmonton-Strathcona
BC Nanaimo-Cowichan
BC Vancouver-Kingsway
MB Winnipeg North
ON Sudbury
ON Thunder Bay-Superior North
ON Trinity-Spadina
YT Western Arctic

(7) CLOSE (< 5 pts behind)
BC Burnaby-Douglas
BC Surrey North
MB Elmwood-Transcona
NL St. John’s South-Mount Pearl
ON Sault Ste Marie
ON Welland
QC Gatineau

(5) POSSIBLE (5-10 pts behind)
BC Vancouver Island North
NL St. John’s South-Mount Pearl
NU Nunavut
ON Parkdale-High Park
SK Saskatoon-Rosetown-Biggar