I’ve been following budgets across provinces for many years. One of the more interesting things is that the most recent Redford budget in Alberta was, supposedly, a balanced budget. However, it also had a deficit. How is that possible? Government budgets are confusing. They are far more complex than a
Continue readingAuthor: TheNewTeddy
Blunt Objects Blog: It would not surprise me
It would not have surprised me if the BC Liberals won the last election, and they did. Nor would it have surprised me if the Alberta PC Party won their last election, and they did. I often say this before an election. That such and such would not surprise me,
Continue readingBlunt Objects Blog: Condorcet and the MB NDP leadership.
One of my favourite voting systems is known as Condorcet. In short, the ‘winner’ is not the person with the most votes, but rather, the person everyone is okay with. One problem with the system is you don’t always have a condorcet winner. Take the game Rock Paper Scissors for
Continue readingBlunt Objects Blog: Quick update on Israel and Manitoba
Tomorrow, Manitoba’s NDP picks it’s new leader, and the new Premier of the Province. In short, it is, roughly, a 3-way race. Selinger has between 373 and 821 delegates, depending on how many union delegates show, and, how many do as the union brass has suggested. Ashton has 483 from
Continue readingBlunt Objects Blog: Prentice and the Mirror
I’m sure you’ve heard of this controversy by now. I wanted to address it. Before I do, I wanted to make clear this is my personal opinion. It is not the ‘official’ opinion of the Blunt Objects blog (if there is such a thing) nor is it the position of
Continue readingBlunt Objects Blog: Liberals Rule; in the Atlantic.
Corporate Research Associates put out a new set of provincial polls. NLL 56 P 31N 13 PEL 58P 26N 12G 4 NSL 58P 20N 18G 3 NBL 54P 27G 10N 9 The simple story is the Liberals are doing very well in all 4 provinces. In general, things are pretty
Continue readingBlunt Objects Blog: PEI Update
http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/prince-edward-island/rob-lantz-celebrates-progressive-conservative-leadership-victory-1.2977350 Rob Lantz, who I indicated would be the only other possible winner (beyond Aylward) has managed to win. I am still honestly surprised, but, listening to some of the convention live, I do understand why they picked him. He is a better speaker than Aylward is. There does not
Continue readingBlunt Objects Blog: Updates (Israel, PEI, Manitoba, Australia)
Within the next 5 weeks there are a number of ‘elections’ taking place. We start in the past; this weekend, when the PEI Liberals picked a new leader. Given the ballot only had one name on it, Wade MacLauchlan, it was an easy choice. MacLauchlan will become the Premier of
Continue readingBlunt Objects Blog: Federal possibilities in 2015
I’ve updated a few of the more interesting maps with more recent predictions based on poll averages. First, Alberta: As I’ve been saying for years now, we are due to win seats in Calgary. We still have the poll numbers we need to do this, and have had those numbers
Continue readingBlunt Objects Blog: Queensland results, and Spoiled Canadians.
We are spoiled. We expect our election results to be final, save any legal recounts, by 6am the morning following an election. While this also holds true for the USA and UK, the majority of the rest of the anglosphere does not operate this way. Queensland is still counting ballots.
Continue readingBlunt Objects Blog: Queensland Live
For those awake this early Saturday, you will likely know my calculations in the previous post about time zones mixed up AM and PM. However, the good news is that this means those of you who like getting up before the sun can watch the election live! http://www.abc.net.au/news/abcnews24/ Here is
Continue readingBlunt Objects Blog: A proposal for Newfoundland
The province still seems set on reducing the number of MHAs. I therefore present to the province my own proposal to help them achieve this without resulting in nearly as many problems as are possible under the current plan. Step One: LabradorOf the current 48 seats, they have 4. Of
Continue readingBlunt Objects Blog: Upcoming Queensland Election
Queensland, the North-East state of Australia, is holding it’s state-level election. The two main parties are the Labor party, and the Liberal National Party, a coalition of the two parties in Australia’s Coalition. The difference between the LNP and other Liberal and National parties is an official merger between the
Continue readingBlunt Objects Blog: Greek election results
Earlier I had predicted the following would be the result of the election: 146 SYRIZA83 ND18 POTAMI16 XA14 PASOK14 KKE9 ANEL The final results are in, and I was fairly close. 149 SYRIZA 76 ND 17 XA 17 POTAMI 15 KKE 13 ANEL 13 PASOK SYRIZA, the Coalition for the
Continue readingBlunt Objects Blog: Israeli Election update; and update on Greece and Newfoundland.
Starting from the smallest updates to the biggest. GREECE All signs point to a victory by the left-wing and anti-austerity SYRIZA party. My current prediction is as follows: 146 SYRIZA83 ND18 POTAMI16 XA14 PASOK14 KKE9 ANEL NEWFOUNDLAND The province of Newfoundland and Labrador is set to lose 10 seats in
Continue readingBlunt Objects Blog: Greek Election preview
I’ve broken this post down into sub-sections to help organize it. Why now? As mentioned in an earlier post, this was triggered by instability. Greece attempted to elect a President, but could not find the needed votes in Parliament. Rather than keep trying, the sitting government called snap elections, believing
Continue readingBlunt Objects Blog: Greek election, and the end of the world
As mentioned in a prior post, Greece goes to the polls in 10 days. This is perhaps the most important election in the history of that country. Why? It has the potential to kick off a Grexit, or, Greece leaving the Eurozone. Why does that matter?Not only could it damage
Continue readingBlunt Objects Blog: Personal gripe
Twitter fans likely are aware of the whole donate-button-gate-scandal-thingy already, but for those who are not, here is a news story from the CBC on the issue http://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/donate-button-deleted-on-harper-and-trudeau-anti-terrorism-message-1.2895753 Anyway, during this I made a tweet. For this, I was blocked by Marc Garneau. I’m not looking to be unblocked, frankly
Continue readingBlunt Objects Blog: Teddy’s prediction for 2015
Given current polls, and my expectations for the BQ and F&D, these are my current predictions for 2015.
Continue readingBlunt Objects Blog: A look at Israel
With the coming election in Israel, I thought it might be wise to introduce those unfamiliar with the country to Israel; in particular it’s people, it’s politics, and some of it’s history. Israel is divided into a number of districts for domestic purposes. These are not like provinces or states,
Continue reading