Author: TheNewTeddy

Just a small change due to further research, each the Tories and Liberals gain and lose a seat. Also a change in colours to match the colours used on the Alberta map. No, that does not mean Wildrose will win a seat on PEI, that is the Green Party, it’s

Not much to say, I’ll let everyone react to the shock in their own way, but in short, I am predicting an NDP majority in Alberta. I’ll have much more to say on this after the ballots are counted.

With polls closing in about 23 hours, I have finalized my PEI election prediction; presented here: I expect the Liberals to retain their majority, and the Tories to present a qualified opposition. The NDP will likely not won a seat, but the Green leader seems to be on the edge

And it’s a big one, an NDP majority. My final prediction will come out on Monday evening, with possible but unlikely minor changes on Tuesday morning before the polls open.

A follow up to my “Today” post. So, what happened yesterday? A few things, lets start at the bottom and work out way up 1 – The Liberals were totally ineffective, as expected. 2 – Wildrose did worse than I expected, being nonexistent nearly. 3 – The Alberta Party actually

Tied to my observations in the “today” post.

Today is, in my opinion, the most crucial day in the Alberta Election. Tomorrow is a Friday before a Weekend. Anything in the news will need to come early to ensure it catches before the end of the weekday news cycle. In addition, being so close to the end of

Having puzzled over polls I’ve started to see some reality in the Alberta election. To best explain, I will take some lines from the Calgary Chamber of Commerce’s rating of the platforms of each party, as found on the CBC. One of the most damning accusations was against the Wildrose

I made a point of not watching the debate, but rather, watching the reaction to it, live, on twitter and elsewhere. Doing so allowed me to see a few things that I think I would have otherwise missed. For example, the “math is hard” comment, for me, was a throw-away

Teddy here. I don’t have any deep analysis of the Federal and Provincial (Ontario) budgets, but the fact they were released so close to one another will certainly have impacts on public opinion. To that end, I wish to encourage feedback from you, dear readers, to let us know what

I was without internet for a week, but I am back now with an updated prediction map. As you can see I still suspect inbuilt errors with polling. In particular, that group of voters that seems to have not gotten correctly polled last time is still not being correctly polled,

I’ve done a bit of digging into the data behind Alberta’s polls. Before I go further, lets re-examine the recent polls: The most shocking was a recent poll showing the NDP in first. 29% – NDP24% – WR23% – PC15% – LIBNext is another shocker from ThinkHQ 31% – WR26%

PEI will be having an election, very shortly. Not much commentary at this juncture; however we may also see an election in Alberta very soon, and (very very low chances) a surprise federal election. Edited to add.Fun fact, none of the 5 registered party leaders hold a seat in the

I’ve been redesigning the maps I made last year. I made a few important changes, and a few minor changes, and am looking for feedback on other changes. 1 – I’ve changed the colour template. The original idea was to have a single template that would always work, but the

In a surprise shocker, Stephen Harper did the unexpected, and a snap election has been called. While the exact time of has been disputed, one thing is clear, and that is the a snap election has been called. All parties are reacting to the news, and are taking appropriate steps.

The election is wrapping up and the last ballots are being counted. The biggest ‘surprise’ of the night was the Greens did very well. The party now holds two additional seats, in the North-West corner of the State. Two Independents were re-elected, bringing the number of seats from a party

Back in 2013, I posted an election projection for the UK. You can view it by clicking here. In it, (I hope) I made clear that this projection was based on what I expected the trends to be, between then, and 2015. I called for 23 SNP seats, and 10

New South Wales is Australia’s largest state in terms of population, it is home to Australia’s largest and most well known city, Sydney, and it surrounds the independent Austrian Capital Territory, where the Federal Parliament is located. One of the big issues is electricity privatization; which makes NSW a bit

With almost all ballots in and counted, the following results are where we stand Likud – 30Zionist Union – 24 – AKA LabourJoint List – 13 – AKA ArabsYesh Atid – 11Kulanu – 10Habayit Hayehudi – 8 – AKA Jewish HomeShas – 7UTJ – 7Yisrael Beyteinu – 6Meretz – 4

This coming Tuesday, Israelis go to the polls to elect their government. Mostly stable polls have shown a late swing towards the centre left. Polls also indicate that the most solid support is for the right. In the last Ontario election, I developed a theory that parties that have less