I’m minutes away from leaving Toronto, and wanted to make one last goodbye post. It may be my last post until August, or even September. A few things to keep in mind until then 1 – The NDP was always “could win”. That includes a Majority. All 3 parties remain
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Blunt Objects Blog: I’m moving soon
Teddy here with a few personal notes. First; remember to check the bottom of the post for who the author is. I’ve had a few posts I’ve made be confused with posts from Kyle. Second; I’ve been given the runaround by just about everyone in the government who is supposedly
Continue readingBlunt Objects Blog: Quick update on the Senate
Just the numbers; the drama won’t fit into a single blogpost. At this time, there are 49 Conservative senators. They caucus with the Tories. There are 29 members of the Liberal Senate Caucus. This is an Independent caucus that does not sit with the Liberals from the Commons. There are
Continue readingBlunt Objects Blog: Newfoundland and Labrador, the future
Teddy here with some maps of the new Newfoundland ridings. First the “boring” map, the one showing the current mathematical prediction The far more fun maps happen when you start adjusting the numbers around: Anyway, that’s all I wanted to add for now.
Continue readingBlunt Objects Blog: Alternate Future, Proportional Representation.
Another addition in my Alternate History (AH) series; an alternate future. This story is set sometime after the 2031 seat redistribution I went over earlier. There are two small changes however. First, note that in that post, Quebec ends up with 2 seats more than the math would give them.
Continue readingBlunt Objects Blog: Can the Bloc sweep Quebec with Duceppe?
No. Sorry for those expecting a yes, or even something more lengthy. Simply no. However, this does remain a “game changer”. The problem is people have been playing one game while thinking they are playing another. Last week the biggest question for the Bloc was “would Plamondon hold his seat,
Continue readingBlunt Objects Blog: Alternate History (AH) – What if the Tories did better in Alberta?
Teddy here with the first in another series of posts I plan to do on alternate history. Inspired again by a post over at 308 I decided to make some interesting posts over here. “But are you not just copying 308?” you may ask. The answer is no.I have an old
Continue readingBlunt Objects Blog: House
No, this is not a post about a TV show and/or Lupus, this is about the House of Commons, and in particular, it’s expected growth in the coming years. To do that we first start with population projections. To do this I’ve used this document from StatsCan. It’s a bit
Continue readingBlunt Objects Blog: The Future of Alberta
Alberta has no future, with a socialist government, it is doomed. I’m joking of course. This is not a post about the economic future of Alberta, but rather, its political future. There are a number of things that could happen between now and the next election. I will try to
Continue readingBlunt Objects Blog: Dream electoral reform, part 2
I’ve asked a lot of people on Twitter for feedback, and every single one of their responses lead me to one conclusion – I was unclear in my previous post. I will try to be a bit more clear this time. How MPs are elected I actually don’t care. Use
Continue readingBlunt Objects Blog: Dream Electoral Reform
Electoral Reform is something I’ve been thinking about, and working on, for a good 15 years. When I make posts like this one, it comes from years of seeing Canadians reject one proposal after another at the polls. Seeing proposals, like the recent one from 308, makes me wax nostalgic
Continue readingBlunt Objects Blog: Timing of future provincial elections.
Just a quick post to note an interesting occurrence that came about due to fixed election dates. While Newfoundland is expected to go to the polls this fall, along with the Federal government, other elections will be “grouped” Both Manitoba and Saskatchewan have laws saying the next election is in
Continue readingBlunt Objects Blog: Visualizing where things stand
With all the news about the Federal “3-way tie” I decided to put in a poll average; weighted towards more recent polls. The results were near what other political predictors and election projectionists have come up with. 117 – CPC106 – NDP105 – LIB10 – OTH: 5 – GRN2 –
Continue readingBlunt Objects Blog: Transition
Teddy here with a quick post. I had been under the impression that transitions – IE the period of time between an election and when a new government takes office – took between 10 and 14 days. It’s recently been brought to my attention this is not the case. As
Continue readingBlunt Objects Blog: Alberta 2015 VS Canada 1993
During my travels on the interwebz, I’ve met a good number of people from a good share of political views. One of those people is Cory Morgan, a hard-right libertarian from Alberta. Morgan recently made a blog post insisting that the right-wing is not split in Alberta. I argue that
Continue readingBlunt Objects Blog: PEI and electoral reform.
With the recent UK election, people have been talking about electoral reform. I myself have done so a few times, right here on this blog, but I will do so again. There are 3 basic reasons people talk about changing the voting system. 1 – The winner should not have
Continue readingBlunt Objects Blog: The Working Class
This is the first in a long series of posts I intend to make over this summer about the Working Class in Canada, it’s impact on how we look at ourselves, on the economy, and on politics. This first post will be short. I will begin by posting an image
Continue readingBlunt Objects Blog: Full UK results
Teddy here; suffering from Election Fever. I’ll need to take a day or two to recover before I start my post-election analysis of the various elections. Until then, here are the full UK results:
Continue readingBlunt Objects Blog: Teddy’s updated Alberta prediction.
I’ve scheduled this post go to up about 30 minutes before the polls open in Alberta. I’ve posted this early to not conflict with Kyle’s final projection. I’ll start with the updated map Long story short; the PC Party seems to have more sticky numbers than I had expected. In
Continue readingBlunt Objects Blog: PEI final results
Analysis tomorrow.
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