Author: TheNewTeddy

Teddy here, I’ve quickly put together a map showing the results of the Ukraine election. Remember that the ridings seen on the map are supplemented by Proportional Representation, and, that the results are still very early. It appears when all is said and done that the President and the Anti-Yulia

I’ve managed to cobble together some internet using my old computer. And with that, I have some updates in my personal predictions. First, Toronto. I don’t see how John Tory can be defeated. Especially as people believe this is still a Tory-Ford horse-race. In fact, at this time, the only

Teddy here. Those who know me in person know I can, at times, attract a comedy of errors. At about 2am today, my computer broke. While trying to fix it, I unplugged the router. Being unable to fix it, I got frustrated and went to bed. When I woke up,

According to Google Translate – my French is sub-par – “Forces” can be translated as Strength, Power, or Leverage. Democratie is, of course, Democracy. Thus the name seems to be a play on the fact the party sees itself as a Democratic Force, a party that will use the strength

After some consideration, I’ve decided to lead with the numbers, and explain them in the second half of the post. 185 Poroshenko Bloc Pro-President Pro-Administration35 Radical Populist Pro-Europe30 Opposition Bloc Anti-Europe Pro-Russian25 Batkivshchyna Liberal Tymoshenko25 Popular Front Liberal Non-Tymoshenko20 Civil Position Conservative Moderate15 Strong Ukraine Conservative Pro-Russian15 Svoboda Nationalists Far

I’ve updated the graphic with new polls, as well as increased the vote total expected for the 4th though 67th candidates. I expect just under half of this to go to Goldkind (3%) an additional 1% to go to Baskin, and the remaining 3% to be distributed among the 6th

I’ve done some research on Elections in Toronto, starting in 1997 with the merger of the city. Counting the top three, or four candidates each time, I’ve been able to determine how many votes “other” Candidates usually receive. The lowest is 2%, and the highest is 9%, with the average

I threw together a simple graphic based on a recent Leger poll in Quebec about the PQ leadership. For those not following the race very close, I thought this graphic might help explain the situation. This is among PQ supporters. The #2 to PKP is Aussant, who if you recall,

Ford has cemented his place as the #2 candidate, and Ari Goldkind has managed to pick up the overwhelming majority of the remaining vote. 44% – Tory27% – Ford26% – Chow3% – Goldkind and others.

Following the total fiasco on election night, some “final” results have come out. Precluding a data entry error in my part, the results are as follows: note: edited to fix data entry error

We will have more to say later, as will everyone, as counting has been frozen in the province. I decided to take the frozen results and map them, as well as put them in other formats. First, the Sptreadsheet https://www.mediafire.com/?bbe43cnrejdwtwr And the image of said sheet: And some maps. They

I’ve created a viewers guide for New Brunswick. Results are expected to come in at world-record pace; or at least, a record for Canada. I say normally you get useless numbers by 20 minutes in, and solid numbers by 40 minutes in. This time, we may get some solid results

A Forum poll has changed everything in the New Brunswick election. This, clearly, changes the math; in addition, it radically changes my gut prediction. My gut is able to read the emotions of voters; sometimes rather poorly, sometimes very well. Hearing the race is tied will, in my gut’s opinion,

I have a terrible sinking feeling that my gut is wrong on this one. My gut sometimes serves me well, Ontario for example, even in Scotland, but here, I just don’t know. I have a terrible feeling my gut is wrong on this one. Despite that I will go with

Not much to post right now, watching the NZ election (expect a post about this in a few days) but wanted to update my New Brunswick prediction. Polls say that NDP voters are switching to the Tories. I honestly can not fully understand this myself. I will be making an

I’ve coloured this map in a very interesting way. Dark Green are areas that voted YES Light Green are areas that voted NO, but under the Scotland-wide average. Light Red are areas that voted NO Dark Red are areas that voted NO, but are one “gap” away. Scotland voted 55.3%

I created a Toronto “Electomatic” – though warning, it’s of limited use since the mayor’s race is a city-wide winner-take-all and the individual ward results do not matter. What is interesting is the map it produces: What I find most interesting is there are 3 wards that will vote for

I decided to up my game and present far better graphics on the Toronto election. That sad doughnut will never be seen again. This is a poll average combining my earlier “poll average” with the two most recent polls. I added in the past ‘average’ in to stabilize it a

TorontoA second poll from a small firm has come out and pegged Doug Ford at 16%. I decided to do some poll averaging, including the two polls, the last Rob Ford poll with the 80% modifier I noted earlier, the previous Doug Ford poll from months ago, and lastly, my

The New Brunswick Liberal Association is a part of the Liberal Party of Canada, however, the two do not share membership lists. Why? Well at one time, the NB Liberals claimed 450,000 members. Again, no extra 0’s in there. They did give me the disclaimer that “many” of these people