Abacus data is not being known for its originality, that’s for sure (despite their “Not Your Average Pollster” claim).Their current results put the Conservatives at 38%, the NDP at 32%, the Libs at 19%, and the Greens with 6%, while the Bloc sit at 26%…
Continue readingTag: Polls
Scott's DiaTribes: Another neck and neck poll in Ontario
More unsettling polling news for the Ontario PC’s and their leader Tim Hudak:
With less than eight weeks to go before Ontarians head to the polls, the race between the Progressive Conservatives and the Liberals has tightened, with the Tories five points ahead among decided voters, a new poll suggests. The Nanos Research poll — conducted between August 10 and August 13 for CTV, The Globe and Mail and CP24 — found the Liberals are on an upswing, closing the gap slightly with the Tories. According to the poll, support sits at 42.1 per cent for the Progressive Conservatives, 37.6 per cent for the Liberals, 16.2 per cent for […]
Continue readingBlunt Objects: Polls
Hello, Teddy here. I’ve prepared a graphic that combines the two recent polls (that Volkov posted on earlier) as well some past results to help even things out. Note that I’ve also adjusted the end results of this poll averaging by one or two points t…
Continue readingScott's DiaTribes: Counting your results before the people vote
Very interesting:
In a flash sample poll conducted last weekend on 400 decided voters, Ipsos Reid found that the gap between Hudak and McGuinty continues to narrow. Of those polled, 38% say they would vote for Hudak and the Conservatives if an election…
Tories are in for a fight in Ontario. Latest Ipsos Reid poll shows 38% support for Hudak and 33% for McGuinty
There has been a general consensus among liberals, since the May 2 election debacle, that the party’s PR machine and recruiting mechanism need an extreme overhaul, a new vision and strategy through which the party can re-gain the attention of voter…
Continue readingBlunt Objects: Angus Reid Poll is Good News for NDP…. Or Is It?
Regular readers here know of my criticisms of Angus Reid which, from time to time, are proven exceptionally right. Their most recent poll, however, is kind of a mixed bag – especially for the New Democrats.But first, the topline numbers:CON: 39%NDP: 31…
Continue readingScott's DiaTribes: A rather meaningless poll
I see Nanos is trumpeting a poll that says the Conservatives have fallen back into minority territory, while the Liberals have made big gains.
It’s nice to see Conservative support slipping. Unfortunately, the Conservatives have the luxery of not…
Blunt Objects: Alberta Returns to the Arms of Tories
From the Calgary Herald:The Progressive Conservatives are on pace to form another massive majority in the next election, despite being in the midst of choosing a new leader, according to an Environics poll.The poll, commissioned by the Calgary Heral…
Continue readingHere A Poll, There a Poll, Everywhere a Poll!
How many polls have come out since the Harpercons got their precious majority, May 2? Another one came out today. One by Abacus, a Sun Media poll, no less. One I rely on least. So this is how it’s going to go for the next four or so years? Polls all the time? . . . → Read More: Here A Poll, There a Poll, Everywhere a Poll!
Continue readingImpolitical: The results are in
While it’s interesting to have a glance at an early sense from Canadians on how they’re feeling about what they just elected federally, part of this Nanos poll seems utterly useless: About one-third of survey respondents (32.3 per cent) said Prime Mini…
Continue readingScott's DiaTribes: Nothing new here
A new Nanos poll comes out today that shows the Conservatives slightly increasing their standing from the May 2, 2011 election results. This should be no great surprise; Parliament has barely sat since the results and is about to go in its break for the summer til September, and if you thought the electorate was disengaged before the last election, they’re hardly going to be now with summer approaching. What was done during this brief Parliament sitting was a threatened back to work legislation of Air Canada employees and a bill in the making to legislate Canada Post striking workers back to work. I would gander both actions or […]
Continue readingKitchener – Waterloo light rail and rapid bus transit controversy, not
Tax hounds will always come out of the wood works and scream bloody murder whenever the government proposes a tax hike to cover the costs for some new expense.
So is the case with the Kitchener – Waterloo light rail and rapid bus transit system p…
Continue readingBlunt Objects: RxR Post: NDP Surge in Atlantic Canada
“The New Democrats are experiencing something of a surge as of late as we’ve all seen, but now major effects are being felt on the provincial level, especially out in Atlantic Canada.”Read the rest here.
Continue readingBlunt Objects: RxR Post: NDP Surge in Atlantic Canada
“The New Democrats are experiencing something of a surge as of late as we’ve all seen, but now major effects are being felt on the provincial level, especially out in Atlantic Canada.”
Read the rest here.
Continue readingCrunching the numbers, who Canadians voted for in the 2011 federal election
As previously stated by many liberal bloggers the Conservatives now dominate the rich west, where most of their votes, that put them in a majority government, came from, the NDP are mainly Quebecers and the Liberals are mostly represente…
Continue readingCuriosityCat: First signs of the Bobby Bounce?
On May 25 Bob Rae became interim Leader of the Liberal Party, after a few weeks of speculation that the job would be his. On May 2 the surprising election was held, reducing the Liberals to a mere 18.9% of the votes cast, which sank a few weeks later t…
Continue readingBlunt Objects: Nanos Poll – End of the Bloc
Nanos has a new poll out with very slight changes for all the parties, except it shows the Bloc literally collapsing before our eyes.
Topline numbers are 39.7% Con, 29.9% NDP, 21.5% Lib, 4.8% Green, and 2.7% Bloc. Using 2Close2Call’s projection system…
Continue readingBlunt Objects: Polling Since June 1978
Here’s a fun look at the Canadian electorate’s waffling since before Joe Clark was Prime Minister:
You can view raw data here. I only managed from 1978 to 2001, since they skip years after it.
The most interesting part of it all is at the very end, a…
Continue readingBlunt Objects: Harris-Decima Rears Its Ugly Head – as does Bruce Anderson
Showing the NDP at 33%, the Conservatives at 38%, and the Liberals at 15% (!). This would be groundbreaking… if Abacus didn’t beat them to the punch already.The further boost things for the Dippers, they currently sit at 49% in Quebec, and 32% in Ont…
Continue readingPop The Stack: Liberals Turn My Dreams a Whiter Shade of Pale
I just flipped on the radio and Michael Ignatieff is talking about electoral reform. Am I in some kind of Fringe-like alternate universe where my dreams (ahem, remember The Liberal Nuclear Option?) are about to become reality? Well, not exactly. Iggy…I believe you have a large bucket of ice world water for me? I’ve said […]
Continue reading