Teddy here with some great news for all my fans! I’ve revived my old Riding By Riding Blog at it’s original blogspot, with a new updated address. Those wishing to follow all my future “Personal Projections” can visit me at http://riding-by-riding.blogspot.ca/ where I will continue to project any election that tickles my
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Blunt Objects: Personal Quebec Projection
Teddy here with my first personal projection for Quebec. I’ve also uploaded the ElectoMatic I’m using to google docs.https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0ApUDSiORyjxidEw2bnRqN3VLTVA1N2hENmJnUkxpX2cFeel free to use this file. If you wish a more clean version in excel, e-mail me at thenewteddy and then the part about being at hotmail dot com. In terms of
Continue readingBlunt Objects: CAQ looking more and more like the ADQ
Teddy here with some recent polls from Quebec. First is a Leger poll showing the PQ at 32 ahead of the PLQ at 31. The CAQ is close behind at 27. CROP however has the PQ at 32 and the PLQ at 29, with the CAQ further back at 21.
Continue readingBlunt Objects: New Federal Party
The Online Party of Canada is now eligible for registration from Elections Canada. This means if they run a candidate in a by-election, they become a fully-fledged registered party. From what I can gather, the party has existed for about 2 years, but is still small. The party’s main stance is that governance should
Continue readingBlunt Objects: Alberta Gerrymander?
Prior to the release of the proposed ridings for Alberta, there were fears from the NDP and even Liberals, that the new ridings would be gerrymandered in such a way as to prevent these parties from winning seats. The reality, however, did not see this materialize, and in fact, the “progressive”
Continue readingBlunt Objects: Provincial Summary
Teddy here. From time to time it is I like to to look at what is going on in the Provinces. Going from East to west, I will summarize the important numbers for you. Newfoundland and LabradorNext election expected: October 13th 2015Recent polling trends: One poll put the NDP in first,
Continue readingBlunt Objects: Fun with Google Maps
Teddy here again. In my spare time, I like to make political and politically-related maps on Google Maps. I have more than just the Quebec Senate Divisions. I decided that I should share some of my work. First, this is the Partition of Israel/Palestine in 1948CLICK FOR MAP This is
Continue readingBlunt Objects: Senate Reform, Selection Options
Senate Reform is an issue that seems to pop up every 10 or so months, stay in the news for about half a week, and vanish. Usually when in the headlines, a particular kind of Senate Reform is being talked about – almost never the same as the one that
Continue readingBlunt Objects: Cardy loses in Rothesay
A follow up from an earlier post on this blog about This provincial riding. I’ll be brief. Lets first examine what happened to get us here. The NB Liberals began to goad NB NDP leader Dominic Cardy to run in the open riding of Rothesay. I’ll skip going over the challenges
Continue readingBlunt Objects: Archive Binge
I’m sure that you’ve heard of CBC Archives which has many interesting videos from the past, both political and otherwise, and I’m sure some of you know that CPAC and Parliament have their own archives as well. However what you may not know – in fact what I did not know until a friend by the
Continue readingBlunt Objects: Weekend Bonus
Teddy here, the first in a series I am starting as part of my contribution to Blunt Objects, the Weekend Bonus. On Saturdays and Sundays I will make posts that are of general interest (politically speaking, of course) that do not relate to current news, but rather to the “small”
Continue readingBlunt Objects: Alberta Election
Results still rolling in, but it’s pretty well over. Analysis tomorrow, map tonight.
Continue readingBlunt Objects: Alberta Preview
Monday night, Albertans go to the polls to elect who will lead the province for the next 4 years. There are a few things to keep an eye on, I’ll start at the bottom and work up to the top. Alberta PartyThe new Alberta Party is running nearly a full
Continue readingBlunt Objects: BC By-Election Liveblogging
Teddy here. While Volkov is off “working”, your friendly in-between-jobs Teddy will be running tonight’s live blog of the BC By Elections! We will be following the election in Port Moody-Coquitlam and Chilliwack-Hope. Note that times will be posted in eastern. 11pm (in a few minutes) is when the polls
Continue readingBlunt Objects: New Brunswick Projection
Volkov did some interesting things with the numbers from the recent Saint John poll in New Brunswick. I’ve been able to expand those numbers out to the entire province using the same process that we use to turn province-wide numbers into riding numbers, only, in reverse. The poll shows a
Continue readingBlunt Objects: Everybody blinks except Mulcair
The NDP’s English ad is out. It contains the script that the media got their hands on earlier, where the winner, whomever it is, talks about being a Cabinet minister *ahem* The interesting thing, so I find, is that just about everyone in the ad blinks. The camera even zooms
Continue readingBlunt Objects: NDP leads federal polls for first time since 1987
2012 will be added to 1987 and 1943 as years that the NDP or it’s predecessors have lead federal polling. Sitting at 36% the party is statistically tied with the Conservatives at 35%, and from a polling perspective, the 1 point lead is meaningless. Psychologically however this will be a
Continue readingBlunt Objects: New Federal Poll
Hot off the press.http://www.harrisdecima.com/sites/default/files/releases/2012/04/04/hd-2012-04-04-en1342.pdfThe graphic on the first page is not a pretty sight for Liberals…
Continue readingBlunt Objects: Visualizing Alberta Pt 4.
Another quick map from Teddy. This is a possible end result of the election. Note it is not a projection or a prediction, just an example of a Wildrose government.
Continue readingBlunt Objects: Visualizing Alberta – Pt 3
Teddy here. I’ve run our official Blunt Objects projection though an updated map, and made a few personal adjustments where I feel the numbers might not be telling the full story.
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