Abacus has a poll out on September 27 that has very bad news for Mulcair’s NDP. The NDP support in Quebec, its heartland, has plunged over the past week, dropping like a stone, while the other parties are ticking upwards: And this anti-Orange Wave has dragged the NDP down nationally
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CuriosityCat: Liberal Party moves past NDP in latest seat projection
Poll Tracker by CBC/308 shows the Liberal Party pulling ahead of the NDP in projected seats, while the Conservatives are still far from majority seat territory: I believe this trend will accelerate, and the movement will slowly break the logjam of the past four weeks. Those wishing to have a
Continue readingCuriosityCat: Will Chuck, Chuck, Chuck, Chuck, Chuck sink Carly Fiorina’s presidential bid?
In one of the better US TV shows, Meet the Press, Carly Fiorina was pressed on whether she lied in the recent Republican debate about seeing a video of a fetus. Here’s one part of the interview: Todd said to Fiorina, “Well, the footage you describe at best is a
Continue readingCuriosityCat: Will Mulcair look left and Harper’s eyebrows not move in Monday’s debate?
An expert in body language viewed the French language debate and Christine Gagnon had this to say about Tom (Thomas?) Mulcair’s body gestures: Watch for Mulcair to repeat these gestures in Monday’s debate on foreign affairs. What about Harper? The expert says he had a fake smile, and his eyebrows
Continue readingCuriosityCat: Has Harper given up his “right not to resign”?
“I will resign …” It seems that the Governor General has gone on record as saying that the “basic principles” of Canadian constitutional law and conventions starts with a simple one: a sitting prime minister has a “right not to resign”: Johnston, a constitutional expert himself, advised then Ontario Lieutenant
Continue readingCuriosityCat: If the “hole” in the Liberal 4-year Plan is not $6.5 billion, then explain how big it is
The presentation of the Liberal plan leaves something to be desired, with the Conservatives blethering about a $6.5 billion hole that will be filled with tax increases on the middle class and on seniors, and the NDP just going on about everything in general. Here’s one explanation in Macleans of
Continue readingCuriosityCat: Quick summary of the Liberal 4-year Plan
So what is in the Liberal spending plan? You can find the plan itself at this site. The plan is well-written, with a clear explanation of the principles that underlie it, a good layout of the major expenditure and revenue items, and a comparison of the different governance values that
Continue readingCuriosityCat: Liberal Party edges ahead of NDP in seats
Poll Tracker, that nifty combo-projections by the CBC and 308, for the first time today shows the Liberal Party nudging ahead of the NDP in number of seats it might win. Here’s the graph: Liberal Party overtakes NDP in seat count Notice, too, that according to Nanos Trudeau has pulled
Continue readingCuriosityCat: The Biggest Wedge Issue in the 2015 Canadian election campaign
When Canadians reflect on the success of the Liberal Party in gaining power in the October 19 election, many will not know how important one issue was in gaining that victory. Nor will many Canadians know who was the mastermind behind that winning issue. Thanks to one of the masterful
Continue readingCuriosityCat: Strategic voting taking root in Canada 3 weeks before election day
Dead cat on a table strategy Some 3,000 Canadians have crowdfunded polls by Leadnow of 31 crucial ridings across Canada where the margin of victory of the Conservatives was small enough to be vulnerable to strategic voting. You can read about it and access each riding’s results here. What seems
Continue readingCuriosityCat: The Politics of Fear lifting the wallowing Tory ship?
After weeks of polls showing a virtual three-way tied between the Conservatives, NDP and Liberals, along comes one poll that shows these startling upticks in Conservative support: The poll results now show the Conservatives with clear leads in British Columbia, Alberta, the Prairie provinces and in Ontario, where 38.7 per
Continue readingCuriosityCat: Harper fatigue in Harperland
“In the name of God, go!” Twice, in British history, have words been uttered to a leader that his time is up: once, in Cromwell’s time, and again, in 1940: In the spring of 1940 British forces in Norway were overwhelmed by the Nazis. On May 7 Prime Minister Neville
Continue readingCuriosityCat: Tom Mulcair says Not a Snowball’s Chance in Hell he will prop up a Harper minority government
The end of the Harper era Tom Mulcair has firmly rejected any chance that the NDP would support Stephen Harper’s government in any confidence votes after the October 19 election: Earlier Wednesday, Mulcair was also asked whether he would support a Conservative minority government. “There isn’t a snowball’s chance in
Continue readingCuriosityCat: Latest changes since September 15 in this fascinating article
You cannot take your eyes off the poll results with the race in the 2015 Canadian election so close! Here’s the graph for the change since September 15: And here’s a quick summary of where the action is (my underlining): Only 11 seats separate the three main political parties, according
Continue readingCuriosityCat: CBC Power & Politics’ Barton goofs on Trudeau statement
It really is time for the powers that be in the CBC to put some smart folks in a room and tell them to come up with an intelligent set of facts on how our constitution works, and then to train Rosemary Barton and others in the P&P program. Justin
Continue readingCuriosityCat: Justin Trudeau hammers the nail into the Harper government’s coffin
The End Today, Trudeau issued the death warrant of the hapless and disliked Conservative Government of Stephen Harper, when he shut the door on supporting a minority Conservative government after the October 19 election: The leader of Canada’s Liberal Party, running tied in polls ahead of an October election, said
Continue readingCuriosityCat: Election 2015: State of Play in Pictures
Here’s the IPSOS/Globalnewssurvey, taken over the past few days, of the state of play: It’s now pretty clear that supporters of the NDP and Liberal Party in Ontario will determine which of Mulcair or Trudeau gets the first crack at forming a government to replace the Harper one. The Two
Continue readingCuriosityCat: Liberals edge out NDP as most favoured party for the first time
IPSOS poll released today shows that for the first time in this election, Trudeau’s Liberal Party is now favoured by more voters than those thinking of voting for Mulcair’s NDP: With just four weeks to go before Canadians choose their next prime minister, burgeoning Liberal support in Ontario has pushed
Continue readingCuriosityCat: How to vote on October 19 to replace the tired, low-energy Harper government
Some are confused by their choices. Others are not sure how strategic voting in their own riding might work. If your main objective is to remove Harper and replace him with another more progressive government, then these people can help you decide how to vote on election day: Nationally, the
Continue readingCuriosityCat: Why Harper is Vulnerable: His margins are razor thin
In the 2011 election Harper managed to eke by with the slimmest of margins, driving up the middle between two opposition parties. How thin was the Tory victory? Check this: In the 2011 election, Harper won his majority with just 6,201 votes out of 14.8 million votes cast. Those 6,201
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