Dramatic disclosures on the campaign trail today! A respected numbers man has called the campaign plan prepared by Tom Mulcair for the NDP, a “Swiss cheese plan.” He likes it, but thinks it’s a bit skimpy: Even though Canada’s former budget watchdog called the NDP’s fiscal plan “Swiss cheese,” leader
Continue readingAuthor: CuriosityCat
CuriosityCat: Post-debate poll: Liberals swamping Conservatives in Ontario 41% to 31%
Stephen Harper has to move the needle substantially if he wants to retain his job as prime minister. He needs to increase his support amongst voters by between 15% and 25%, to move it up from the low nationwide 32% or so, to majority-seat territory of 37% to 40%. The
Continue readingCuriosityCat: Debate confirms that Canada will have a new government on October 20
Here’s the Nanos latest poll, showing support at various times over the past 12 months: Where have the polls been? Check the listing of all 2015 polls at Poll Tracker for this. Run your eye down the percentages favouring the Conservatives in these 109 polls – can you spot any
Continue readingCuriosityCat: Liberals hold lead in Ontario after debate
According to the Poll Tracker CBC results: Note the large increase in Ontario seats for the Liberals compared to the disastrous 20111 election. We are back!
Continue readingCuriosityCat: Nanos: Liberals forging ahead in Ontario and competitive with Tories in BC
Here are three diagrams from Nanos polling released at 6am on Friday September 18, that indicate the state of play. First, check out the incredible bunching of the three parties in recent weeks: Then there is the very important and game-winning Ontario standings of the parties – Liberals forging ahead
Continue readingCuriosityCat: Trudeau’s massive $125 Billion Infrastructure Plan gains traction among voters
Nick Nanos Just in time for the second debate tonight, Nanos has come out with a poll dealing with voters’s views of what is needed to stimulate the economy. You can link to the Nanos study through the Toronto Star article. IT IS WORTH READING, AND WORTH SHARING. What
Continue readingCuriosityCat: Justin (Just not ready) Trudeau more ready than Harper is, poll says
“I told you I’m not perfect …” Nanos polls voters daily to find out their views on the election. One question in the latest poll was which of the leaders had the qualities of a good political leader. Guess what? Harper ranked below Mulcair and Trudeau: Qualities of a good
Continue readingCuriosityCat: Mulcair & Trudeau both fishing for votes in the same size pools
But Harper is fishing in a far smaller pool, according to Abacusdata: The whole Abacusdata poll is fascinating and worth studying, and, of course, sharing with friends, colleagues and Tories. This election is one for the record books! Roll on October 19; with some 76% of Canadians wanting a change
Continue readingCuriosityCat: Forum Poll: More Canadians believe Liberal economic plan is the best
Despite spending hundreds of millions of dollars to promote their Action Plan, most Canadians (52%) do not think Harper’s economic plan is successful. Less than 1 in 4 think it is a success. That’s bad news if you are running to be the next government, with your ads saying your
Continue readingCuriosityCat: 2015 Election: Wait for Stephen Harper’s Dead Cats on a Table
Dead Cat on a Table It is ironic that the man who tried to show off his cuddly, soft, compassionate, human side by having photographs taken with him cuddling cute little kittens, should be resorting to the use of a man described by some as a Master of Dark Arts,
Continue readingCuriosityCat: Lynton Crosby: Canada, he’s not here for you
Lynton Crosby, The Wizard of Oz: Not here for you He’s only here for one man: Stephen Harper, as cloned by the Wizard of Oz
Continue readingCuriosityCat: The Invincibility Aura of the Harper Machine has been shattered
The last Tory bigwig leaves The Machine For a decade Stephen Harper and his new Conservative Party have bestrode the political landscape of Canada like a colossus. Source of the myth of invincibility: The signs of the perceived professionalism of the Conservative Party include the acceptance by the public and
Continue readingCuriosityCat: Battleground Ontario is moving into Liberal camp says Nanos
The kiss of death? The latest Nanos poll for CTV shows a three way split between the LPC, CPC and NDP. However, the Liberal grip on their heartland of Atlantic Canada remains firm; while the NDP has a clear majority in Quebec. The key battleground is now the biggest province,
Continue readingCuriosityCat: Does the Mansbridge Bump mean Justin Trudeau will be prime minister on October 20?
The chickens have spoken Peter Mansbridge, the jovial senior journalist of CBC, held three interviews with Harper, Mulcair and Trudeau. Google has revealed the results of searches on google of the three men, during each such interview. Here’s the graph: Two things about the number of searches. First, more people
Continue readingCuriosityCat: Desperate Harper calls in the Wizard of Oz to save his failing campaign
The Wizard of Oz – Harper’s last hope? Having sent his top campaign advisor back to Ottawa, to join his chief of staff, Novak (the one who doesn’t read all his emails), Harper is flailing around, trying to find the magic bullet to rescue his campaign. With the latest Nanos
Continue readingCuriosityCat: Vox Populi: Now 70% of Canadians want change from Harper governance
The trend towards change on October 19 election day is becoming well-nigh irrestible. The latest NANOS tracking poll of voters has this startling statistic (my underlining): A new poll suggests most Canadians (79 per cent) agree the country feels like it’s in recession, nearly seven in 10 (69 per cent)
Continue readingCuriosityCat: Source: Harper is in a bunker
Will order go out from Harper’s bunker for heads to roll? Everybody knows the wheels are coming off the Harper ‘new’ Conservatives bus. And this article in The Hamilton Spectator has interviews with senior Tories about what is happening behind the scenes: One source said cabinet ministers are being encouraged
Continue readingCuriosityCat: Justin Trudeau answers Peter Mansbridge on why he wishes to be prime minister
And gives a succinct answer that answers the question very well. Peter Mansbridge interviews Justin Trudeau And a good answer it is (even though Mansbridge seems to interrupt an awful lot): PM: But why, why do you think you’re that fresh approach? Not on your beliefs on policy, but on
Continue readingCuriosityCat: Coalition or no coalition? What will happen on October 20
Qualified support? OK Polls show the Conservatives slipping, and the NDP and LPC in a dead heat for the role of replacement government, but neither of those two parties expected to gain a majority of seats in the House (170 seats). And this has given rise to intense debate about
Continue readingCuriosityCat: Both Trudeau and Mulcair should keep the other man on a short leash
The Mulcair or Trudeau Short Leash Polls show the Conservatives slipping, and the NDP and LPC in a dead heat for the role of replacement government, but neither of those two parties expected to gain a majority of seats in the House (170 seats). And this has given rise to
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