Strategic voting in Cowichan-Malahat-Langford Another new riding in BC is Cowichan—Malahat—Langford, which includes parts of the old ridings of Nanaimo—Cowichan and Esquimalt—Juan de Fuca, both of which elected NDP MPs in the last election. If the votes of the last election were cast in the current boundaries, the result would
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Bouquets of Gray: Strategic voting in Burnaby North—Seymour: vote NDP
Strategic voting in Burnaby North—Seymour Burnaby North—Seymour is a new riding in BC. Its creation has been controversial, since it combines parts of Burnaby—Douglas (which tend towards the NDP) and parts of North Vancouver (which is reliably Conservative). I f we transpose the results of the 2011 election into the new
Continue readingBouquets of Gray: Strategic voting in Brantford-Brant: vote NDP
Strategic voting in Brantford-Brant Brantford—Brant is another Ontario riding where strategic voting could be important. It is interesting because it was for a long time the riding of NDP stalwart Derek Blackburn, then of Liberal cabinet minister Jane Stewart, and has been Conservative since 2008. In 2011 the election results
Continue readingBouquets of Gray: Strategic voting in London North Centre: vote Liberal
London North Centre is a very good example of the consequences of the splitting of the anti-Conservative vote. Strategic voting inLondon North Centre In the 2011 election, Conservative Susan Truppe was elected with 37% of the vote; the Liberals were at 34%; the NDP, 25%; the Greens, 4%. Since the
Continue readingBouquets of Gray: Strategic voting in London West: vote Liberal
Strategic voting in London West Another riding where vote-splitting may result in the election of a Conservative is London West, which is currently represented by the Conservative Ed Holder. His election in 2011 benefited from vote splitting. He received 45% of the vote; the Liberals 25% and the NDP 27%.
Continue readingBouquets of Gray: Strategic voting in Ontario (recap)
My advice to strategic voters in Ontario ridings: Strategic voting in Essex: vote NDP Strategic voting in Mississauga-Erin Mills Strategic voting in Mississauga East: vote Liberal Strategic voting in Mississauga Centre: vote Liberal (To be continued)
Continue readingBouquets of Gray: Strategic voting in Essex: vote NDP
Strategic voting in Essex The riding of Essex in southwest Ontario has had a Conservative MP, Jeff Watson, since 2004. In the last election, the results were CPC (48%), NDP (35%), Lib. (14%), Green (2%). An Environics poll taken Oct. 2-5, however, suggests that the Conservatives could be vulnerable in Essex if strategic
Continue readingBouquets of Gray: Strategic voting in Alberta (recap)
Strategic voting Alberta Some recent posts on strategic voting in Alberta Strategic voting in Edmonton Riverbend: vote NDP Strategic voting in Edmonton Manning: vote NDP Strategic voting in Edmonton Griesbach: vote NDP Strategic voting in Edmonton Centre: vote NDP
Continue readingBouquets of Gray: Strategic voting in Hamilton West-Ancaster-Dundas: crowdfunding polls
Strategic voting in Hamilton West-Ancaster-Dundas A couple days ago, I discussed the prospects for strategic voting in the riding of Hamilton West-Ancaster-Dundas, and advising waiting until more is known. The good people at votetogether.ca were gathering pledges of strategic voters, with the goal of crowd-funding a poll once 500 pledges were reached. The
Continue readingBouquets of Gray: Strategic voting in Edmonton Manning
Strategic voting in Edmonton Manning Edmonton Manning is a new riding created out of parts of Edmonton-Sherwood Park, Edmonton East and Edmonton-St. Albert. If the 2011 results of those three ridings were cast within the new riding boundaries, the results would be (link): Con (55%), NDP (27%), Lib (9%), Green
Continue readingBouquets of Gray: Strategic voting in Edmonton Griesbach: vote NDP
Strategic voting in Edmonton Griesbach Another Edmonton riding where strategic voting could make a difference is Edmonton-Griesbach. It is a new riding formed out of parts of the ridings of old Edmonton East and St. Albert-Edmonton, both of which have been reliable Conservative ridings. If the results of the 2011
Continue readingBouquets of Gray: Strategic voting in Edmonton Centre: vote NDP
The election of the Notley-NDP in Alberta was one of this year’s biggest election stories. In Edmonton, however, the NDP has been strong for a long time. Anne Duncan has turned Edmonton-Strathcona into one of the NDP’s safest seats, and they are competitive in other adjacent ridings. Strategic voting in
Continue readingBouquets of Gray: Strategic voting in Mississauga Erin Mills: Vote Liberal
Strategic voting inMississauga Erin Mills The riding of Mississauga-Erin Mills is the new name for what used to be Mississauga-Erindale, which has been represented since 2008 by Conservative MP Robert Dechert. In the 2011 election the vote split (link): Con (47%) / Lib (39%) / NDP (16%) / Green (4%). This is another riding
Continue readingBouquets of Gray: Strategic voting in Misissauga East-Cooksville: vote Liberal
The riding of Misissauga East-Cooksville is currently represented by Conservative MP Wladyslaw Lizon, who in 2011 defeated the Liberal Peter Fonseca by some 600 votes. This is a rematch. Strategic voting inMississauga East-Cooksville Like most ridings in the GTA, the riding boundaries have been redrawn. If the 2011 votes are recast in
Continue readingBouquets of Gray: Strategic voting in Mississauga Centre: vote Liberal
Strategic voting in Mississauga Centre Mississauga Centre is another riding in which tactical voting makes sense. Like most ridings in southern Ontario, its boundaries have been redrawn. If the 2011 results are recast into the new boundaries (link), the results would have been: Con (42%) /Lib (37%) / NDP (17%)
Continue readingBouquets of Gray: Strategic Voting in Hamilton West-Ancaster-Dundas: pledge votegether.ca
Strategic Voting in Hamilton West-Ancaster-Dundas Hamilton West-Ancaster-Dundas is a newly formed riding that incorporates parts of the old Ancaster-Dundas-Flamorough-Westdale riding. The rural polls of Flamborough were removed and joined with Glanborough to form a new riding. In the process of doing this, however, some 12,000 Conservative votes were moved out
Continue readingBouquets of Gray: Strategic voting in New Brunswick (recap)
Strategic voting in New Brunswick Strategic voting in Fredericton: vote Liberal Strategic voting in Saint John-Rothesay: vote Liberal Strategic Voting in Madawaska-Restigouche: vote Liberal Strategic voting in Moncton-Riverview-Dieppe: vote Liberal Strategic voting in Fundy Royal: vote NDP
Continue readingBouquets of Gray: Strategic voting in Fundy Royal: vote NDP
The riding of Fundy-Royal in New Brunswick is a long shot for strategic voters. Fundy Royal the 2011 vote break-down in Fundy Royal was: Con (58%) / Lib (10%) / NDP (27%) / Green (5%) the strong second place finish of the NDP combined with a weakening of Conservative support just backing the NDP here. Other posts: Strategic
Continue readingBouquets of Gray: Strategic voting in Moncton-Riverview-Dieppe: vote Liberal
The riding of Moncton-Riverview-Dieppe in New Brunswick offers another opportunity for strategic voters to work together to defeat the Conservatives. Strategic voting inMoncton-Riverview-Dieppe In 2011, the breakdown of votes (link) was: Con (37%) / Lib (31%) / NDP (28%) / Green (4%) Eric Grenier at 308.com predicts that Liberals (whose support in Atlantic Canada has increased since 2011)
Continue readingBouquets of Gray: Strategic voting in Saint John-Rothesay: vote Liberal
Strategic voting inSaint John-Rothesy Continuing our survey of strategic voting opportunities in New Brunswick, we turn our attention to Saint John-Rothesay in the last election, the electoral results in Saint John-Rothesay were: Con (50%) / Lib (16%) / NDP (31%) / Green (3%) a recent local poll conducted by Environics found voting intentions as follows: Con (38%) / Lib (33%) / NDP (25%) / Green (4%) This
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