Just when you thought it was safe to stick your head up now that the poll-talk was gone, along comes three party insiders talking to Peter Mansbridge about polls. Take the time to watch this video. The front segment on polls is short. You will learn a…
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The Sir Robert Bond Papers: Environics releases second indy poll of campaign #nlpoli #nlvotes
The second independent poll of the provincial campaign – this time by Environics for the Canadian Press - turns up some interesting numbers. You’ll find them below, in a table with the other recent polls results, all put on the same ba…
Continue readingThe Sir Robert Bond Papers: Telelink releases campaign’s only independent poll #nlvotes #nlpoli
NTV and Telelink released the only independent poll of the campaign on Monday and with a week to go in the 2011 general election, things are on track for a historic election. For starters, let’s look at the Telelink party support numbers: PCP 35…
Continue readingThe Sir Robert Bond Papers: Some old habits must die really hard: Telly edition #nlpoli #nlvotes
In the last couple of days of the 1989 election, the Telegram featured a set of poll results done by a local company. The poll showed Tom Rideout’s Tories in front of the Clyde Wells Liberals by quite a margin. Small problem of accuracy:…
Continue readingThe Sir Robert Bond Papers: New Poll. New Result #nlpoli
Quick. Where’s Kathy Dunderdale today? A new poll by advertising agency M5’s opinion research firm will give you a clue. The poll replicates the actual numbers for CRA’s August omnibus when both are adjusted to remove the distortion of reporting …
Continue readingThe Sir Robert Bond Papers: What you can see at the horse race…
Horse race polls are the heights of political journalism in some circles despite the fact they tell very little about what is happening in voters’ heads. But since this is all there is, let’s look at the latest Corporate Research Associates poll a…
Continue readingThe Sir Robert Bond Papers: The Politics of Public Spending
Check the local media for the past week and you’ll see a sudden bunch of stories about the series of fire truck announcements provincial politicians of the Tory persuasion are making across the province. Voice of the Cabinet Minister’s got one. C…
Continue readingThe Sir Robert Bond Papers: The perils of polling stories
Not surprisingly, local media reports of Corporate Research Associates’ most recent quarterly poll got the news spectacularly wrong. For example, the Telegram reported that “[s]upport for the provincial Conservatives has dropped to 57 per cent of …
Continue readingThe Sir Robert Bond Papers: Dunderdale disapproval doubles; Tory vote drops to 44%
What a difference a federal election can make to provincial poll results. According to the latest Angus-Reid poll, 43% of respondents are satisfied with Kathy Dunderdale’s performance as premier down from 55% in February and 67% for her predec…
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