The latest poll from Narrative Research shows the distorting effective of disregarding the “undecideds”. The number of people who didn’t pick a political party dropped seven percentages points compared to August (35 to 28). The Liberals and Conservatives picked up three points each and the New Democrats picked up a
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Politics and its Discontents: “If You’re A Liberal, You’ve Got To Be Very Nervous”
So says pollster Nik Nanos, after a poll showing young people’s support for Justin Trudeau dropping dramatically after his recent chat with Greta Thunberg during her visit to Canada. Polling data from Nanos Research shows that the proportion of voters aged 18 to 29 who cite Trudeau as their preferred
Continue readingThe Sir Robert Bond Papers: Dippers go home #nlpoli
The latest quarterly poll from Narrative Research shows that a gaggle of folks who were likely New Democratic Party supporters returned to the fold in the past quarter and are now happy to identify as New Democrats once more. So while this is good news for Alison Coffin and the
Continue readingThe Sir Robert Bond Papers: The Abacus Poll for Election 2019 #nlpoli
The chart below looks like there has been a huge jump up and down in “no choice” and a corresponding big change in party choice but actually there is some consistency across the board. Click to enlarge As SRBP has been saying for a couple of months, the Conservatives and
Continue readingThe Sir Robert Bond Papers: Election 2019 – First Poll #nlpoli
While the MQO poll shows the Liberals in the lead, a new poll from Abacus – released with an hour of this appearing – will likely show that since the debate, the political landscape of the province has changed dramatically. The latest poll from MQO showed that after a week
Continue readingThe Sir Robert Bond Papers: Everyone loses: new MQO poll for NTV #nlpoli
On the eve of an anticipated election call, voters in Newfoundland and Labrador turn up their noses at everyone currently on the field. The latest MQO poll for NTV shows why no one should discard the people who don;t pick a party when asked who they would vote for. When
Continue readingThe Sir Robert Bond Papers: Napalm sticks… #nlpoli
The latest poll from MQO is being reported as a statistical tie by NTV , while CBC says it shows a “neck and neck” race between the PCs and Liberals. That’s not really the story of the polls, though and what they might mean. Here’s the pretty chart showing every party
Continue readingThe Sir Robert Bond Papers: A spring election now seems more likely #nlpoli
Here’s the local poll tracker, now that the final party choice poll of the year is in. It’s every party choice poll by any firm (less a couple of outliers) all converted to show the results as a share of all choice. Undecideds are a valid option in the SRBP
Continue readingThe Sir Robert Bond Papers: The MQO poll and Party Choice #nlpoli
MQO’s quarterly omnibus poll shows some curious changes in public opinion about provincial political parties. The province-wide numbers are not curious: the changes in a couple of the regions are. Let’s take a look first at the provincial numbers. As usual, SRBP presents the results as a share of all responses, including
Continue readingThe Sir Robert Bond Papers: The Windsor Lake By-Election and polling #nlpoli
Market research firm MQO released a poll on September 10 about the Windsor Lake by-election. They’d surveyed 300 people about how they would likely vote and about who they thought would make the best Premier from among the provincial party leaders. On their choice among the candidates, MQO reported that
Continue readingCuriosityCat: UK June 8 Election and How Framing might destroy PM May
Remember Don’t think of an elephant? Does the name George Lakoff ring a bell? Does the concept of framing a debate in political discourse remind you of something? If your answer is Yes, step this way and consider the article I quote below. If your answer is No, then step
Continue readingThe Sir Robert Bond Papers: The Doldrums #nlpoli
MQO conducted a little poll in late January and found the party standings among voters remains where it was in November. No surprise. Nothing has happened in the past few months to move support for either of the three parties in the province up or down. We are in the
Continue readingThe Sir Robert Bond Papers: The Doldrums #nlpoli
MQO conducted a little poll in late January and found the party standings among voters remains where it was in November. No surprise. Nothing has happened in the past few months to move support for either of the three parties in the province up or down. We are in the
Continue readingThe Sir Robert Bond Papers: Brutal #nlpoli
Any Liberals who thought they were out of the political woods got a harsh reminder of the truth on Tuesday. Their leader remains as unpopular as ever. According to Angus Reid, only 20% of respondents to their recent poll thought Premier Dwight Ball was doing a good job. That’s scarcely
Continue readingThe Sir Robert Bond Papers: The polls remain discouraging for Liberals #nlpoli
Heading into their convention this weekend, the provincial Liberals have another poll that confirms what all the other polls have said for the past six months or so. For those misled by reports about the MQO poll like CBC’s initial one, see the bit down below. Here’s what you get
Continue readingThe Sir Robert Bond Papers: Best Choice for Premier #nlpoli
Premier Dwight Ball has the lowest leader choice numbers of any Premier in Newfoundland and Labrador since November 2000.The chart shows the Corporate Research Associates numbers in every quarter for every Premier in that period. To help situate you in…
Continue readingThe Sir Robert Bond Papers: A clear course to dangerous political shoals #nlpoli
Lots of political activists are looking at the latest CRA quarterly poll. The Liberals think it is great that they are rebounding so quickly. Supporters of the other two parties think it is wonderful the three parties are tied and Paul Davi…
Continue readingThe Sir Robert Bond Papers: The Unhappy Gang #nlpoli
The provincial cabinet ended a “retreat” at The Rooms by holding a news conference on Thursday using as a backdrop posters commemorating the slaughter of the Newfoundland regiment at Beaumont Hamel a century ago.Not exactly the kind of image you want t…
Continue readingThe Sir Robert Bond Papers: Turning Point #nlpoli
The Great Filibuster of 2016 came to an abrupt end on Thursday after as the two opposition parties decided to pack it in, having gaining precisely nothing of any substance.The filibuster confirmed the NDP are as politically impotent as they have always…
Continue readingThe Sir Robert Bond Papers: MQO poll shows big Liberal slide #nlpoli
Just for the fun of comparison, here’s the CRA polling results for a year covering the last time the provincial government saw a change of party and the new crowd introduced a killer budget no one expected.The Conservatives dropped from 55 points in No…
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