Premier Clark’s astounding election victory deserves to be celebrated. Almost nobody thought she had a shot, and the reports on her chances were dismal. The polls were bad. The media was against her. Certain pesky issues seemed to dominate her message. So congratulations, Premier Clark. Way to go. Well done.
Continue readingTag: Forum Research
Alberta Diary: With Liberals in rear-view mirror, conservative deep thinkers ponder greener look
Your blogger offers Preston Manning a couple of big ideas for conservatives to think about. Below: Liberal Justin Trudeau, pollster Andre Turcotte. OTTAWA While the Forum Research polling company was proclaiming that if an election were held today, Justin Trudeau would be prime minister, conservatives of an assortment of exotic
Continue readingBigCityLib Strikes Back: Kathleen Wynne’s Done Good
Full disclosure. It’s A Forum Research poll. That said, I can’t but like the underlying message: …the Liberals would again win 53 seats in the 107-member house with the Tories taking 36, down from 37 in the most recent election and the NDP with 18, up from 17 in that vote. One odd
Continue readingAlberta Diary: On Monday in Calgary, will the Tories come second … or third?
Conservative candidate Joan Crockatt campaigns in Calgary while a supporter covers his face in embarrassment. (Joke.) Below: The winner of Monday’s by-election, as forecast by Perfesser Dave, Chris Turner. The great political minds of Alberta are pondering today where Conservative Party candidate Joan Crockatt will place in Monday’s Calgary Centre by-election. Will she come second? …
Continue readingAlberta Diary: Will the Tories meet their Waterloo on the field at Calgary Centre? One can only hope!
Napoleon after the Battle of Waterloo. Events in the Calgary Centre by-election may not turn out to be exactly as illustrated. Below: Liberal Harvey Locke, Conservative Joan Crockatt and Green Chris Turner. Is Joan Crockatt about to meet her Waterloo? As reported first by Dave Cournoyer of the Daveberta blog and moments later by the …
Continue readingBigCityLib Strikes Back: They Call Them Political Parties…
…because you always have to look like you’re having one. And Justin does. Sure his party sometimes looks like its going to become an all night kegger, but he keeps advisers around to make sure that doesn’t happen. Never underestimate how far an outgoing, enthusiastic personality can take you in
Continue readingScott's DiaTribes: Polls on Liberal (would-be) contenders and NDP leads.
You might have seen a poll out in the past couple of days from Forum Research stating that if Justin Trudeau became Liberal Party leader, he’d receive 39% of the vote, Stephen Harper’s CPC getting 32% and the NDP reverting back to their long held 3rd party status with 20%.
Continue readingDriving The Porcelain Bus: Ontario NDP virtually tied with PCs
A new Forum Research Ontario tracking poll is out. The results show the NDP and PCs in a virtual tie, with the Liberal support continuing to plummet. Horwath’s and Hudak’s popularity remains about the same with Horwath way in the lead, but McGuinty’s popularity has dropped significantly. Results of the
Continue readingBigCityLib Strikes Back: A New Poll From Forum
…who poll relentlessly, if not always accurately: In a random sampling of public opinion taken by the Forum Poll among 1,720 Canadians 18 years of age or older, one third would vote either for the federal NDP or the Conservatives (34% each) if an election were held today. Just fewer
Continue readingDriving The Porcelain Bus: NDP Rise To 37%, Conservatives Drop To 30%
Since Tom Mulcair was chosen to lead the party back in March, the NDP has maintained a strong support across Canada, which has continued to grow. The opposite is true for the Conservatives. Their support has been steadily dropping. Canadians are becoming more aware of the scandals plaguing them. And
Continue readingScott's DiaTribes: Shifting left?
As they always say, the only poll that counts is election day, but polls are a useful barometer of how the public is feeling in a snapshot in time, and this one definitely is favoring Mulcair and the NDP: The nationwide poll suggests the New Democratic Party would form a
Continue readingScott's DiaTribes: Harper and Cons reputation taking a bit of a beating – a year too late.
Two new polls out today – one from Forum Research in the Star shows the NDP ahead of the CPC by 3%.. the other by Nanos at the Globe shows the CPC ahead, but in an MOE dead heat. Pollster are going to get looked at skeptically for a bit
Continue readingDavid Climenhaga's Alberta Diary: It’s election day and Alison Redford’s hole card is all she has left: Is it an ace or is it junk?
Alberta Premier Alison Redford, not exactly as illustrated notwithstanding the Stetsons, has only one good card left to play. Is it an ace, or is it junk? We’ll find out tonight. Below: The real Ms. Redford and Danielle Smith. As Albertans head to the polls today with large numbers of
Continue readingDriving The Porcelain Bus: Ontario NDP Overtake Liberals, Horwath Riding High
The latest Forum Research poll has the Ontario NDP overtaking the Liberals in support and Andrea Horwath continuing to be, by far, the most popular of the 3 main party leaders. Current party standings compared to standings at election time Oct 2011: NDP 31% (23%) – up 8% PC 34%
Continue readingAccidental Deliberations: On regional impacts
Back here, I pointed out the prairie numbers from Forum Research’s poll about Canada’s federal leaders as an indication that the NDP has plenty of opportunity to grow after electing Thomas Mulcair as leader. But Volkov points out the fact that the NDP’s chances of making major gains in western
Continue readingBlunt Objects: Forum Poll of Ontario: 34% PC, 30% Lib, 30% NDP
That’s a close race for sure, though despite tying the Liberals for second, the NDP remain in third place. Forum Research: Prog. Cons: 34% – 42 seats Ont. Liberal: 30% – 35 seats New Dems: 30% – 30 seats Greens – 5% This poll is actually more important than it
Continue readingBlunt Objects: Forum Poll Post-Mulcair: 35% Con, 35% NDP
Forum seems to always lead the trends these days. The above numbers are the highest the NDP have been since the late ’80’s or early ’90’s, a good sign for Thomas Mulcair. I’ve got the full results below: So it remains a Conservative minority, but only because the NDP are
Continue readingDavid Climenhaga's Alberta Diary: Be careful what you wish for: Wildrose may be on cusp of victory in Alberta campaign
Alberta PC campaign tactician Stephen Carter, left, illustrates for Premier Alison Redford and Deputy Premier Doug Horner how he plans to counter recent Wildrose Party gains. Alberta political operatives and their bosses may not appear exactly as illustrated. Below: the real Premier Redford, Wildrose Leader Danielle Smith and Wildrose strategist
Continue readingBlunt Objects: More By-Election Talk: Port Moody-Coquitlam
Awhile ago (well, the end of January) I did an overview of the BC provincial riding of Chilliwack-Hope, where BC Liberal incumbent since ’96 Barry Penner had stepped down, triggering a by-election. Now, that race wouldn’t have been important, given that the NDP have never even come close to winning
Continue readingBlunt Objects: Forum, Nanos Polling in Ontario Battle it Out
Two polls provincially in Ontario talk about, the first one being Nanos’ Research poll (they did one in November as well that didn’t make the radar), and the next being Forum Research. Big, big differences in these polls. More than what’s normal, anyways. Let’s start with Nanos, which gives the
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