This and that for your Tuesday reading. – Yesterday’s Alberta election certainly proved somewhat of a shocker – producing about the best possible result short of a minority scenario that would have allowed the NDP to exercise the balance of power, as the slightly-less-right party won even as its most
Continue readingTag: alberta 2012
Accidental Deliberations: Sunday Evening Links
Assorted content to end your weekend. – Brian Mason makes the closing argument for Alberta’s NDP in tomorrow’s provincial election: – Meanwhile in Ontario, Keith Leslie reports that the McGuinty Libs are still dragging their heels on Andrea Horwath’s entirely reasonable set of budget requests. But while Martin Regg Cohn
Continue readingBlunt Objects: Alberta Preview
Monday night, Albertans go to the polls to elect who will lead the province for the next 4 years. There are a few things to keep an eye on, I’ll start at the bottom and work up to the top. Alberta PartyThe new Alberta Party is running nearly a full
Continue readingBlunt Objects: Redford Back in the Game? #AbVote Poll – 35.5% Wildrose, 34.2% PC
It wasn’t even a week between the days the poll were conducted, but Leger Marketing’s poll of Albertan voting intentions this week shows a crazy drop for the Wildrosers from last week. I didn’t cover that poll (though I added it to my main projection), but I’ll include the differences
Continue readingBlunt Objects: Campaign Res. #AbVote Poll: 17.1-point Wildrose Lead
It’s not up through my usual sources but Globe and Mail mentioned it, and it originated on Stephen Taylor’s website. Apparently, the Conservative-backed pollster releases their polls through a Conservative-backed blogger. Surprise. But, in fairness to Campaign Research, of Cotler-call fame, their numbers are within the norms. I still don’t
Continue readingBlunt Objects: Visualizing Alberta Pt 4.
Another quick map from Teddy. This is a possible end result of the election. Note it is not a projection or a prediction, just an example of a Wildrose government.
Continue readingBlunt Objects: Think HQ #AbVote Poll – 43% Wildrose, 30% PC
This Think HQ poll is now the fourth poll in a row to show the Wildrosers moving far ahead of the PCs, with a 13-point lead over Premier Redford’s Progressive Conservatives. Below are the changes in popular vote and seats from their last poll: ThinkHQ Poll: Wildrose: 43% (+10) –
Continue readingBlunt Objects: Abacus Data Poll #AbVote – 41% WRP, 28% PC
This Abacus poll makes it the fourth poll since Ipsos Reid’s 38-38 tie to produce some major momentum for the Wildrosers by placing them ahead of the PCs, and sixth overall to produce some momentum for the Wildrosers. That means one thing: trend (basically) confirmed. The Wildrosers are on their
Continue readingBlunt Objects: Visualizing Alberta – Pt 3
Teddy here. I’ve run our official Blunt Objects projection though an updated map, and made a few personal adjustments where I feel the numbers might not be telling the full story.
Continue readingBlunt Objects: Visualizing Alberta – Pt 2
Teddy here. A quick projection using the old riding map.
Continue readingBlunt Objects: Campaign Research #AbVote Poll: 39.6% WRP, 30.3% PC
!CAUTION! Campaign Research is the firm behind the calls to Cotler’s riding last year, and is a known pro-Conservative (small c or big C) outfit, so take the next poll at face value. Campaign Research:WRP: 39.6% – 56 seatsPC: 30.3% – 24 seatsNDP: 11.6% – 6 seats Lib: 13.0% Despite
Continue readingBlunt Objects: Visualizing Alberta
A quick graphic by Teddy
Continue readingBlunt Objects: ThinkHQ #AbVote Poll: 36% PC, 33% Wildrose
Another pollster has put out this week showing another close race as compared to the trend from earlier this month and before, with the Wildrosers clearly benefitting. PC – 36% – 48 seats WRP – 33% – 30 seats NDP – 13% – 7 seats Lib – 13% – 2
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