Poll math refresher #nlpoli
In advance of the latest Corporate Research Associates poll, check out the SRBP post on the February results. Here’s the Tory voter choice number, over time, compared to actual vote…
polling
Dutch polls: not quite diseased
Just when you thought I had successfully limited my international political obsessions to Malta, Ireland, and New Zealand, I remembered my interest in Dutch politics. Way back when (by which…
Don’t remind her, Tommy #nlpoli
The townie Tories are all a-twitter over federal Dipper leader Thomas Mulcair’s endorsement of Sheilagh O’Leary for mayor of Sin Jawns in the next municipal election. On Monday, reporters asked…
Shift happens, but not this fast – trying to understand Alberta’s wonky polls
Shift happens: An Alberta pollster runs down the road looking for a crowd of Albertans to survey. Nothing in sight, however. Below: Premier Alison Redford and Wildrose Leader Danielle Smith.…
Secret shared
Jim Newell, Salon.com “The dirty little secret about political punditry, that is not actually a secret to anyone who watches and reads it, is that it’s all lies. It requires…
Tory and Dipper leader in approvals tie in NL: poll #nlpoli
An unspecified number of people polled online in Newfoundland and Labrador by Angus-Reid approved almost equally of the job done by e Premier Kathy Dunderdale and New Democratic party leader…
Poll Math #nlpoli
Just for the heck of it, here’s the most recent CRA marketing poll adjusted to take out the misleading way CRA reports its clients poll numbers. Here are the Conservative…
Forum poll revealed: With an iPhone and a blog, we can now predict poll results before they’re published!
Wildrose Party Leader Danielle Smith with the voice of Forum Research Inc. She’s smiling because she likes his answers. Alberta pollsters and politicians may not appear exactly as illustrated. Below:…
Second Forum poll shows Wildrose still soaring: Press 1 if you believe it, Press 2, if you have your doubts…
A Forum Research Inc. spokesperson counts up support for Alberta’s far-right Wildrose Party. Below: Forum President Lorne Bozinoff. Well, that’s one strategy for establishing your polling credibility: If you come…
Majority supports Keystone XL, or do they?
Wetland oil spill – Evi, Alberta Vancouver Sun headlines: U.S. majority supports controversial Keystone XL pipeline project: poll “A majority of U.S. voters still support TransCanada Corp’s controversial Keystone XL…
National Post poll bad news for Alberta Tories … in the unlikely event it’s right
A word of advice, boys: don’t bet all your kibbles on the results of a one-day demon-dialer poll! Alberta political analysts or the chances they take may not be exactly…
Margin of error defined #nlpoli
Corporate Research Associates November 2011 omnibus: If a provincial election were held today in Newfoundland and Labrador, for which party would you vote? Progressive Conservative Party 60% CRA August 2011…
The Insiders on Polls during Elections #nlpoli
Just when you thought it was safe to stick your head up now that the poll-talk was gone, along comes three party insiders talking to Peter Mansbridge about polls. Take…
The jury’s out – or it should be, anyway – on the Calgary Herald’s latest pro-Redford poll
Premier Alison Redford of the Popular Conservatives is really popular with these guys, you can just tell!Wow! This just in! Alison Redford is so popular….How popular is she?Alberta’s new premier…
Another poll in need of a dog
Global BC reports a poll has Mayor Gregor Robinson ahead of NPA candidate Suzanne Anton by a margin of 2 to 1. The broadcaster's analysis is that Robinson is in…
PPM: Controversy, Accountability and Disclosure #nlpoli
On October 3, Liberal leader Kevin Aylward issued a news release in which he claimed that the second MQO poll released the Friday before had been “bought and paid for…
PPM: The Polls and the Local Media #nlpoli
All daily media in the province reported polls released by polling firms during the 2011 general election. They reported the polls as the firms released them. That is, they did…
Handling the Undecideds #nlpoli
Opinion polls conducted in Newfoundland and Labrador that ask about party choice measure the opinion of the entire population of eligible voters. As such, discarding the undecided responses (anything other…
PPM: The Polls in the 2011 Election #nlpoli
Polling firms released more election polls in the 2011 provincial general election than in any recent provincial election. Corporate Research Associates, Environics, MQO (MarketQuest Omnifacts) and Telelink produced a total…
Politics, polls and news media #nlpoli
For the past 65 years, public opinion polls have been an integral feature of news media reports on politics and elections. The reasons are pretty simple to understand. Most public…