Credit where credit is due: Collingwood council this week voted unanimously to allow a cannabis store to open here. That came as somewhat of a surprise given earlier negative comments from come councillors, but in the end they all agreed to it. It made sense to say yes, given that
Continue readingTag: poll
Scott's DiaTribes: Conservative Pandering to the Alt-Right
A poll released earlier today says that about a quarter of those Canadians polled want a Donald Trump (attempted) type travel ban. This is who a large segment of the current Conservative Party leadership crop is pandering to. It’s why they endorsed an Anti-Islamaphobia motion by Tom Mulcair last Fall
Continue readingmark a rayner: Important Poll Here
Cowboy boot sandals! One of the 47 Signs of the Apocalypse? https://t.co/ViUC12yscf https://t.co/UeTmWnBwmy #fads — Mark A. Rayner (@markarayner) April 25, 2016 Naturally, if “yes” comes out on top, then there will be another Sign add…
Continue readingBouquets of Gray: Strategic voting in Courtney-Alberni: vote NDP
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| Strategic voting in Courtney-Alberni |
Courtney-Alberni is a new riding that combines part of what used to be Nanaimo—Alberni (69%) and Vancouver Island North (31%). The riding includes Port Alberni and Courtney (obviously), as well as Parksville and
The Conservative candidate in Courtney-Alberni is John Duncan, who took 46% of vote in 2011, over the 2nd place NDPer with 43%.
The new riding is slightly less favourable to Duncan. If the 2011 votes are redistributed within its boundaries, the Conservative would have received 45%, the NDP 41%, the Greens and Liberals both at 7%.
By itself this should mean that strategic voters should support the NDP.
As it happens, a recent poll conducted by Insights West (Sept. 13) confirms that. It found that support in the riding at: Con. 33%, NDP 39%, Lib. 13%, Green 12%.
Update, Oct. 15. A new poll for BC from Insights West (pdf) confirms that strategic voters in Courtney-Alberni should vote NDP:
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| Polls in Courtney-Alberni |
Again it is fairly clear that the NDP have the best choice for strategic voters who want to avoid vote splitting and defeat the Conservatives.
Votetogether.ca is expected to make a call for strategic voting in Courney-Alberni soon.
Update. A new poll (Oct. 13) shows that strategic voters should support the NDP.
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| New poll in Courtney-Alberni |
Recent posts:
- Strategic voting in Haldimand-Norfolk: vote Liberal
- Strategic voting in Courtney-Alberni: vote NDP
- Strategic voting in Oshawa: vote NDP
- Strategic voting in Peterborough—Kawartha: vote Liberal
- Strategic voting in South Okanagan-West Kootenay: vote NDP
- Strategic voting Kootenay-Columbia: vote NDP
For a full list of my calls, see here.
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Bouquets of Gray: Strategic voting in Courtney-Alberni: vote NDP
Strategic voting in Courtney-Alberni Courtney-Alberni is a new riding that combines part of what used to be Nanaimo—Alberni (69%) and Vancouver Island North (31%). The riding includes Port Alberni and Courtney (obviously), as well as Parksville and The Conservative candidate in Courtney-Alberni is John Duncan, who took 46% of vote
Continue readingBouquets of Gray: Strategic voting in Courtney-Alberni: vote NDP
Strategic voting in Courtney-Alberni Courtney-Alberni is a new riding that combines part of what used to be Nanaimo—Alberni (69%) and Vancouver Island North (31%). The riding includes Port Alberni and Courtney (obviously), as well as Parksville and The Conservative candidate in Courtney-Alberni is John Duncan, who took 46% of vote
Continue readingBouquets of Gray: Strategic voting in Peterborough—Kawartha: vote Liberal
Peterborough—Kawartha is a new riding made up mostly from the old riding of Peterborough. It includes (obviously) Peterborough and its environs.
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| Dean Del Mastro convicted |
Strategic voters in Peterborough—Kawartha have good reason to want to avoid vote splitting and change parties in this election. Its Conservative MP for the last decade has been the odious Dean Del who was found guilty last year of electoral corruption and tampering wiht documents and sent to prison.
In the last election, Delmastro was elected quite easily with 47% of the vote, followed by the Liberal with 32% and the NDP with 14%.
Two polls have been conducted in the riding since the writ was dropped:
- Forum Research (September 24): Con (34%), NDP (24%), Lib (37%) and Green (4%)
- Nanos Research (August 26, 2015): Con (29%), NDP (27%), Lib (41%), Green (4%)
Both these polls and its history suggest that strategic voters should support the Liberals.
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Update. More polls confirm the call. From wikipedia summary of local election polls:
See Votetogether.ca’s page to confirm that strategic voters in Peterborough—Kawartha should vote Liberal.
Some recent posts:
- Strategic voting in Peterborough—Kawartha: vote Liberal
- Strategic voting in South Okanagan-West Kootenay: vote NDP
- Strategic voting Kootenay-Columbia: vote NDP
- Strategic voting in Kanata-Carleton: vote Liberal
- Strategic voting in North Okanagan—Shuswap: vote NDP
- Strategic voting in Cowichan—Malahat—Langford: vote NDP
- Strategic voting in Burnaby North—Seymour: vote NDP
- Strategic voting in Brantford-Brant: vote NDP
- Strategic voting in Essex: vote NDP
For an overview of strategic voting posts, see here.
Votetogether.ca’s recommendations:
- Strategic voting in Calgary Centre: vote Liberal
- Strategic voting in Calgary Confederation: vote Liberal
- Strategic voting in Cowichan—Malahat—Langford: vote NDP
- Strategic voting in Elmwood—Transcona: vote NDP
- Strategic voting in Eglinton—Lawrence: vote Liberal
- Strategic voting in Etobicoke—Lakeshore: vote Liberal
- Strategic voting in Fredericton: vote Liberal
- Strategic voting in Kootenay—Columbia: vote NDP
- Strategic voting in London North Centre: vote Liberal
- Strategic voting in Nanaimo—Ladysmith: vote NDP
- Strategic voting in North Island—Powell River: vote NDP
- Strategic voting in Port Moody—Coquitlam: vote NDP
- Strategic voting in Saskatoon—University: vote NDP
- Strategic voting in Winnipeg South Centre: vote Liberal
- Strategic voting in Waterloo: vote Liberal
- Strategic voting in Willowdale: vote Liberal
Bouquets of Gray: Strategic voting in Peterborough—Kawartha: vote Liberal
Peterborough—Kawartha is a new riding made up mostly from the old riding of Peterborough. It includes (obviously) Peterborough and its environs. Dean Del Mastro convicted Strategic voters in Peterborough—Kawartha have good reason to want to avoid vote splitting and change parties in this election. Its Conservative MP for the last
Continue readingBouquets of Gray: Strategic voting in Peterborough—Kawartha: vote Liberal
Peterborough—Kawartha is a new riding made up mostly from the old riding of Peterborough. It includes (obviously) Peterborough and its environs. Dean Del Mastro convicted Strategic voters in Peterborough—Kawartha have good reason to want to avoid vote splitting and change parties in this election. Its Conservative MP for the last
Continue readingThe Canadian Progressive: NDP vaults past Conservatives, Liberals after 2015 election call: Poll
A Forum Research poll conducted after Stephen Harper officially called the 2015 federal election on Sunday shows that 39 per cent of Canadian voters would vote NDP if the election were held today. The post NDP vaults past Conservatives, Liberals after 2015 election call: Poll appeared first on The Canadian
Continue readingDead Wild Roses: Belief in Anti-Vaccination Makes You Dangerous (and Stupid).
We have a newspaper of record of sorts here in Alberta. I’ll be quoting from the Edmonton Journal to cover the amazing amount of stupid it takes to somehow think that vaccines are linked to autism. 1. They are not. [Pubmed, Google Scholar.] 2. See #1. “One in five Albertans
Continue readingThe Canadian Progressive: Canadians Unhappy With Harper’s Performance, Country’s Current Direction: Poll
As the 2015 federal election approaches, Canadians aren’t happy with Stephen Harper’s performance and Canada’s current direction, a new survey suggests. The post Canadians Unhappy With Harper’s Performance, Country’s Current Direction: Poll appeared first on The Canadian Progressive.
Continue readingThe Canadian Progressive: Trudeau Liberals lost Canadians’ support, NDP gained: Poll
A new poll by Abacus Data suggests that, in the the last month, Justin Trudeau’s Liberals lost the support of Canadians and the NDP made game-changing gains. The post Trudeau Liberals lost Canadians’ support, NDP gained: Poll appeared first on The Canadian Progressive.
Continue readingThe Canadian Progressive: 70 of Canadians support a national moratorium on fracking: POLL
A new poll commissioned by the Council of Canadians reveals that an overwhelming majority of Canadians oppose fracking, support “a national moratorium on fracking until it is scientifically proven to be safe.” The post 70 of Canadians support a national moratorium on fracking: POLL appeared first on The Canadian Progressive.
Continue readingThe Canadian Progressive: New Canadians Abandoning Stephen Harper, Conservatives
A new poll by EKOS shows that new Canadians are deserting Stephen Harper and the Conservatives “despite aggressive wooing” by Jason Kenney in the last three years. The post New Canadians Abandoning Stephen Harper, Conservatives appeared first on The Canadian Progressive.
Continue readingScott's DiaTribes: Ontario voters not liking Hudak’s Voodoo Economics
First off, yes, this is a Forum poll, but like BigcityLib, I’ll take it as a starting point as to what people think of Tim Hudak’s 100 000 public sector job cuts/1 million jobs created dual promises. So far, they don’t like it at all, or they don’t believe Timmy
Continue readingPOLL: Ontario Election – Who Has the Best Bus?
Will Kathleen Wynne’s steady hands stay at 10 and 2? How many of Tim Hudak’s million jobs are for designing bus wrap slogans? What’s the insurance rate for Andrea Horwath’s campaign vehicle? Transportation, already a prominent issue in the 2014 provincial election, intersects with many aspects of politics, policy, and
Continue readingdaveberta.ca - Alberta politics: Phone poll suggests NDP MLA testing waters for leadership bid?
TweetIs there an undeclared race underway to become leader of the Alberta NDP? An interactive voice response poll calling Albertans on February 11 suggests there just might be. The automated phone poll conducted by the Toronto-based Research House began with innocuous questions aimed at gaging opinions about the current Progressive Conservative government
Continue readingThe Canadian Progressive: Nova Scotians overwhelmingly support continued ban on fracking
A just released poll shows that Nova Scotians overwhelmingly support a continued moratorium on fracking, unless an independent review finds there is no risk to drinking water, human health, the climate or communities. The post Nova Scotians overwhelmingly support continued ban on fracking appeared first on The Canadian Progressive.
Continue readingCowichan Conversations: Vancouver Island Could Become Canada’s 11th Province
Richard Hughes-Political Blogger The concept of Vancouver Island going its’ own way as Canada’s 11th province is being floated once again. Separated by land, sea and air many Islander’s think of themselves as ‘Islanders’ first, British Columbian’s next and then of course Canadians. A fledgling group based out of Cowichan
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