Author: Volkov

So last night wasn’t the greatest endorsement of my projection system ever. I had predicted, at the very least, a Wildrose government, with a hefty PC opposition. This was based on every single poll, including the famous last-minute Forum poll, up until April 23rd. So, indeed, let us deal with

Well, I’ll be the first to ask: what in the eff just happened. The only person to even come close to predicting what we saw last night was Warren Kinsella and a bunch of CalgaryGrit readers. The polls had supposedly spelled it out nicely for us: big fat Wildrose government.

You can watch the voters online live at CBC, for those interested. <p><p><p><a href=”http://www.coveritlive.com/mobile.php/option=com_mobile/task=viewaltcast/altcast_code=e5917587e5″ >Alberta 2012 Liveblog</a></p></p></p>

Bruce Hyer, shortly before the NDP MP for Thunder Bay-Superior North, has quit the New Democratic caucus to sit as an Independent MP, citing the lack of freedom for MPs, specifically relating to how he was told to vote on the gun registry, as the reason for his decision. LOL.

It’s a common question these days: what exactly does it take to get fired from Stephen Harper’s cabinet? Before he was more secure in his position, it was Bernier getting fired for leaving documents at his biker girlfriend’s, unattended and full with sensitive, if not 100% relevant, information. Under those

This is the absolute final projection for Alberta, contrary to my last post. Two new polls from Forum Research and Angus Reid needed to be included, and while it did drop the Wildrosers down a little bit, I’m still predicting it to likely be a Wildrose majority, of somewhere around

Tonight I’m ready to call my final projections for the 2012 Alberta general election. I’ve actually had the numbers up since about noon, but we’ll go a little more in-depth for right now. You can see an in-depth, riding-by-riding version of these numbers on my Alberta 2012 page to the

Last night saw two by-elections in British Columbia occur and despite the predictions of some media, some bloggers, and myself, the BC Liberals actually came out of it smelling slightly better than they did before. Port Moody-Coquitlam Joe Trasolini – 6,070 – 54.4% Dennis Marsden – 3,377 – 30.2% Christine

While there’s still time for a couple of extra, it’s probably that we’ve come upon the final four polls for the Alberta election race, which means that it’s about time for me to wrap up the Official Blunt Objects Projection – likely tomorrow in the afternoon, I’ll make my final

The voters of Chilliwack-Hope and Port Moody-Coquitlam are going to the polls tonight at 8:00pm Pacific Time, or 11:00pm Eastern. I’ll be at work by that time, and while I’ll keep an eye on the numbers, there probably won’t be a liveblog. I’ll try and get an analysis up either

Remember that Angus Reid poll that put the Liberals in third place in Ontario, and I said that we’d need to wait to see if any other polls confirmed it? Yes? Well two polls from Environics and Forum Research have come out spelling possible doom for the McGuinty Liberals. Environics

In a bid to try to take McGuinty down after the closure of his astroturf organization, “Wind Concerns Ontario,” John Laforet has taken to HuffPo to call for another Ontario election: Let’s have an election this spring and let Ontarians decide not simply who they trust to govern, but also

Well not quite, but I enjoy the shock value. The poll is actually of New Brunswick, but only part of it. The City of Saint John has apparently trended quite well for the NDP provincially, and are now leading 39% to 33% for the PCs, and 28% for the Liberals.

However it’s a small drop, and it’s only one poll. It certainly doesn’t rival or confirm Léger Marketing’s poll a week ago showing that massive drop – we can safely say it was an outlier. However, this Forum poll could reflect the reality of a closing gap. Forum Research (April

Apparently that’s what’s being implied by former Prime Minister Jean Chrétien, who appears to be pushing for a merger of the NDP and the Liberals more and more these days, with Warren Kinsella playing sidekick. Hm. I don’t get the feeling that Canadian politics are unstable. In fact, they’re relatively

While most people here are caught up in either the Alberta provincial election or the upcoming Ontario election (if God hates us, anyways), the nation which spawned much of our liberal democratic idealism has been devolving into an absolute mess as its presidential election rolls along, a tumbling pile of

Return on Insight conducted a poll on behalf of the CBC in Alberta, showing a fairly close race (by Alberta standards) as we head into our last week of the campaign: Return on Insight: Wildrosers: 43% – 53 seats Prog Cons: 36% – 31 seats New Dems: 9% – 3

This about sums up how things will be between us for the next few years. Credit to Graeme MacKay

This poll is likely the last pre-debate poll, so we should mark the occasion now. It also highlights a growing trend in the race: marginalization of the Liberals and NDP in favour of the PCs. Campaign Research: Wildrosers: 42.8% (-2.7) – 53 seats (-18) Prog Cons: 34.4% (+6.0) – 30