If you look at these fundraising numbers from Pundit’s Guide, I wouldn’t blame you if you said it was. Whew. 58.4% of all fundraising done for the race so far has been on behalf of Justin Trudeau, while his nearest rivals, that being Hall Findlay and Garneau, are nowhere even
Continue readingAuthor: Kyle H.
Blunt Objects Blog: Innovative Ontario Poll: 31% Lib, 30% PC, 27% NDP
Innovative Research, which does do the occasional poll here and there, is the first pollster to come out with a post-Wynne, um, win poll, showing a tight three-way race with the Liberals actually leading it for once. Innovative Research (Ontario Provincial – January 27-29, 2013)Ontario Liberal: 31% (+3%) – 46
Continue readingBlunt Objects Blog: Mustel BC Poll: 43% NDP, 33% BC Liberal
Mustel has a new provincial poll out, showing a closer – but not quite close enough – race between the leading NDP under Adrian Dix, and the incumbent BC Liberals under Premier Clark. Mustel Group (BC Provincial – January 11-21, 2013)New Democratic: 43% (-2%) – 55 seats (=)BC Liberal Party:
Continue readingBlunt Objects Blog: Saskatchewan Redistribution Commission’s Report
As noted before, Saskatchewan’s Redistribution Commission has come out with its report, and has actually significantly altered the map, though not too badly and not in any obviously gerrymandered way. In my last post on Saskatchewan, I noted that the new urban-focused ridings in Saskatoon and Regina will give the
Continue readingBlunt Objects Blog: New Brunswick Redistribution Commission Report
The final Atlantic province has come out with its Redistribution Report, meaning that overall, we’re waiting for Ontario and Quebec – Saskatchewan and British Columbia also have their reports out, but I’ll be covering them tomorrow. You can read the Commission’s Report here. I covered the original proposals in New
Continue readingBlunt Objects Blog: Could Pupatello Have Won?
This is some swirling stories right now going on that Hoskins was supposed to give Sandra Pupatello his support this past weekend, described here in the Globe and Mail. I look forward to the tell-all book from Eric on this, but until then, we get this story that does no
Continue readingBlunt Objects Blog: "I haven’t crunched the numbers but I think that would be a game-changer as well"
So says Joyce Murray, prospective federal Liberal leader, on the issue of Liberal-Green electoral co-operation and its viability. Now, forgive me because I run by logic, but if you haven’t run the numbers, why would you put much stock in this hypothesis? I understand that she hasn’t put all her
Continue readingBlunt Objects Blog: #OLPldr Final Ballot Results
Hey folks, Kyle here – and sadly, I’m not at the convention but damn do I wish I was! Instead I get to go to work, but either way the candidate with the best experience and the best plan has won. What a night it has been as well. I
Continue readingBlunt Objects Blog: Forum Ontario Poll: 35% NDP, 32% PC, 27% OLP
And thus, we see the first provincial Ontario poll to put the New Democrats first since… well, for a very long time. Forum Research’s newest monthly poll is out and gives a good boost to our provincial Dippers, putting a smile for sure on Andrea Horwath’s face, and a frown
Continue readingBlunt Objects Blog: Wynne Expects to Lose? No, geniuses.
This stupid video popped up today, and was posted by BigCityLib earlier in a post that has other stuff I really don’t know about, nor care about. This isn’t a small campaign being run, folks, it’s a pretty big one – mistakes will happen, if these mistakes are actually verified.
Continue readingBlunt Objects: Angus-Reid BC Poll: 46% NDP, 31% BC Lib
Angus-Reid have been busy bees this week, now throwing up a new British Columbia provincial poll which doesn’t actually show too much different from their last poll, despite these sorts of headlines. Angus Reid (BC Provincial – January 17-18, 2013)New Democratic: 46% (-1%) – 63 seats (+5 seats)BC Liberal Party:
Continue readingBlunt Objects: #LPCLdr Debate 1: The Candidates Revealed
I just finished watching the two-hour long marathon that was the first candidates debate for the 2013 leadership race out in Vancouver, and one thing comes to mind: all nine – nine! – candidates are top quality and none of them disappointed. I remember watching the NDP leadership race and
Continue readingBlunt Objects: Forum and Angus Reid Federal Polls
Two new polls for the federal scene are out today, and I thought I’d do a quick overview of them, just a basic projection and a couple of comments. First off, everyone’s favourite Forum: Forum Research (Federal – January 16-17, 2013)Conservative: 36% (+5%) – 162 seats (+31 seats)Liberal Party: 25%
Continue readingBlunt Objects: Ontario Delegate Maps and Charts and Fun!
Earl Washburn over at Canadian Election Atlas has created a great map detailing the winners of each riding in terms of delegates for the OLP Leadership race, along with some analysis – I suggest you give it a good read over, because its highly interesting. I myself have created two
Continue readingBlunt Objects: Mulcair’s Meeting
Can you name them all? I couldn’t. Especially not the person shrouded by Selinger’s head. Good photography there.. A couple of days ago, Thomas Mulcair met with what I assume are the 10 provincial and territorial leaders of the New Democrats across Canada. Wowee! the media said, falling all over
Continue readingBlunt Objects: I Hate the Media
This is brilliant. Take the statements of two individuals who haven’t talked together about anything, string it all up, and claim that they’ve “left the door open” to something. Like co-operation. As we’re all aware, yesterday Andrea Horwath yesterday basically said she wouldn’t be opposed to forming a coalition with
Continue readingBlunt Objects: Hold up there, Andrea…
Getting ahead of yourself, aren’t you? Given the lack of mention by any of the OLP candidates in regard to forming a “coalition” with the New Democrats, I assume this has been something cooking up within Horwath’s head. What does she think she’ll get out of it? Sharing the unpopularity
Continue readingBlunt Objects: Greg Crone is Old
How do I know this? “Wynne likely did not help herself with comments over the weekend that Ontario might soon have its first female premier. Maybe so, but the other candidates, all men, are perhaps not yet ready to concede they cannot win the leadership. Why alienate those whose support
Continue readingBlunt Objects: Blunt Objects in 2012
2012 was a pretty good year for me, and while we’re already 3.8% of the way through 2013, I decided to take stock of some of those fancy Blogger stats that are provided to me and see what’s what. Views in 2012: 124,036 Over 124,000 people “viewed” my blog last
Continue readingBlunt Objects: Pupatello Takes Slight Lead, but Burlington Goes Wynne
Last night, apparently 44,000 Ontario Liberals voted to choose their riding’s delegates to the leadership convention in two weeks, ostensibly for one of the six candidates still in the race. Overall, it appears that Sandra Pupatello captured the most delegates last night, though it wasn’t exactly an overwhelming victory; Pupatello’s
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