Author: Aaron Ginsberg

Dominique Strauss-Kahn was arrested over the weekend and accused of very serious crimes. Like all people in free countries he is innocent until proven guilty in a court of law and bluntly this isn’t a law blog. This is a politics blog and innocent or…

Dominique Strauss-Kahn was arrested over the weekend and accused of very serious crimes. Like all people in free countries he is innocent until proven guilty in a court of law and bluntly this isn’t a law blog. This is a politics blog and innocent or guilty M. Strauss-Kahn is dead

The executive of the Liberal Party of Canada has learned nothing from the crushing electoral defeat endured by the party on May 2nd. They haven’t learned that the leader of a political party should be chosen by the membership of the party without any interference from the executive. The executive

The executive of the Liberal Party of Canada has learned nothing from the crushing electoral defeat endured by the party on May 2nd. They haven’t learned that the leader of a political party should be chosen by the membership of the party without any …

My projection for the election was wrong. Like off by 100+ seats wrong if you add up all the differences in seat counts. I’ll start by saying that. But I don’t actually dismiss my model. Here’s why: First, I’m mostly wrong in Quebec where I had the Bloc holding on

My projection for the election was wrong. Like off by 100+ seats wrong if you add up all the differences in seat counts. I’ll start by saying that. But I don’t actually dismiss my model. Here’s why:First, I’m mostly wrong in Quebec where I had the …

They announced the Liberals had lost Labrador. We’ve never lost Labrador. EVER. We’ve held Labrador since 1948. Mr. Ignatieff, the Mondale School of Failed Leadership called, they have an opening for you.

They announced the Liberals had lost Labrador. We’ve never lost Labrador. EVER. We’ve held Labrador since 1948. Mr. Ignatieff, the Mondale School of Failed Leadership called, they have an opening for you.

Here’s what’s going to happen… I guess you can vote if you want: CPC LPC NDP BQ IND National 150 50 62 45 1 NL 1 4 2 0 0 PE 0 4 0 0 0 NS 2 3 6 0 0 NB 6 3 1 0 0 QC 8

Here’s what’s going to happen… I guess you can vote if you want: CPC LPC NDP BQ IND National 150 50 62 45 1 NL 1 4 2 0 0 PE 0 4 0 0 0 NS…

Very exciting news boys and girls. I have resurrected my seat projections! If the election were called today, All Politics is Local projects: yet another Tory minority! The numbers for your interest:

I haven’t run one of these in a while and frankly I think the data may be a spitting out a screwy result. The NDP surge in Quebec worries me, in terms of my accuracy. My model is better suited to slight shifts, not giant surges. Right now, my model is saying the NDP surge will come at the expense of the Bloc and might actually help the other two federalist parties. Could happen. The vote splits in Quebec will be fascinating come election night.

In my ongoing quest not to have any readers, I’ll continue my look at elections around the world that actually really matter, but no one in Canada seems to care about. Today, news that incumbent Nigerian President, Goodluck Jonathan has won re-electio…

While Canadians will go to the polls on May 2nd, Finns went to the polls yesterday and elected a new government. Well, actually they re-elected the existing government… well sort of. The leading party, the centre-right National Coalition Party won …

This weekend in Montreal the Parti Quebecois is holding a convention. They gave their leader Pauline Marois a 93% confidence vote. If any time in opposition can be considered good times, these are good times for the PQ. The Quebec Liberal Party and …