Latest poll: Opposition 206 seats, Harper Conservatives 131 seats
Prime Minister Mulcair? A logjam in our politics has been broken by a string of elections over the past two years. Things that were unheard of before, now are reality.…
Polls
Pundits selectively cherry-picking polls to dump on Federal Liberals.
Last week, not too long after the budget release, an Abacus poll was released showing the Conservatives jumping to an 8 point lead over the Liberals. The immediate analysis of…
Alberta election: Why is Premier Prentice losing the male vote?
Although taken on April 30, with the election on May 5, this poll shows that the surging NDP has stolen a big whack of male votes from Cowboy Jim Prentice.…
UK 2015 election: Down to the wire
Talk about a nail biter! And welcome to the new land of coalition / cooperative governments ….
2015 election: Harper on road to minority government?
The problem? The latest compendium of polls by 308 have good news and bad news. Good news for Harper who – based on these results – would form a minority…
Canadian Ambivalence Towards Religion
A new Angus Reid poll underscores the changing, ambivalent nature of Canadian attitudes towards religion, but there are many things about the poll that concern me and make me question…
2015 Election: Quebec holds, Ontario rises for Liberals says Abacus poll
On guard Hat tip to BigCityLibfor pointing the way to the latest Abacus poll. The devil is in the regional breakdown, because national poll numbers are relatively useless in Canada.…
Budget ignorance abounds #nlpoli
The provincial government’s own economics and statistics agency conducted a telephone survey for the budget consultations this year. They released the results along with the questions and some details about…
Contradictory polls
So we have a couple of polls out today: Ekos (who is behind a paywall) has the CPC suddenly leading by 3% 35-32 over the LPC due to a sudden…
2015 & Santa Claus: Fluid electorate gives all parties a chance
Pollster Nick Nanos has just released a Christmas goodie for the party leaders of the three parties vying to form the next government of Canada. Based on just one question…
The NDP’s 7% problem
The NDP’s biggest problem electorally isn’t a question of policy or values or leadership or connecting with voters or just about anything else perennially brought up to explain their difficulties…
The NDP’s 7% problem
The NDP's biggest problem electorally isn't a question of policy or values or leadership or connecting with voters or just about anything else perennially brought up to explain their difficulties…
The NDP’s 7% problem
The NDP's biggest problem electorally isn't a question of policy or values or leadership or connecting with voters or just about anything else perennially brought up to explain their difficulties…
The NDP’s 7% problem
The NDP’s biggest problem electorally isn’t a question of policy or values or leadership or connecting with voters or just about anything else perennially brought up to explain their difficulties…
The October 2014 NTV/MQO Poll Numbers #nlpoli
NTV commissioned NTV to poll opinion about the provincial Conservatives a month after Paul Davis took over as Premier. The party choice numbers are simple enough: Liberals at 37, Conservatives…
Voter Choice #nlpoli
When Kathy Dunderdale jumped or was flicked out of office in the first part of 2014, CRA boss Don Mills issued a release covering his company’s February 2014 self-promotion poll…
I might sound like a broken record…
…because over and over I have said that Nanos is the ONLY pollster worth watching. Here is why (emphasis mine): Some key observations on this evening’s Ontario election: Tonight’s election…
Wynne & OLP have (polling) momentum going into debate
… or so it would appear from the latest polling. Ekos had a 5 pt OLP lead yesterday, while Abacus had a 2 or 7 pt OLP lead (depending on…
POLL: Ontario Election – Who Has the Best Bus?
Will Kathleen Wynne’s steady hands stay at 10 and 2? How many of Tim Hudak’s million jobs are for designing bus wrap slogans? What’s the insurance rate for Andrea Horwath’s…
Mapping out past Quebec election results – vote splits and vote efficiency make the different in Quebec provincial elections
In preparation for the Quebec provincial election on Monday, I mapped out some past Quebec election results, comparing the vote and seat share received by each party. Click the graph…