Contradictory polls
So we have a couple of polls out today: Ekos (who is behind a paywall) has the CPC suddenly leading by 3% 35-32 over the LPC due to a sudden…
ekos
Thursday Morning Links
This and that for your Thursday reading. – Linda McQuaig discusses who stands to lose out from a CETA designed to limit its benefits to the corporate elite. And PressProgress…
Ontario election: Shades of the 2015 Harper-Trudeau battle?
When it comes to elections in Canada, with its relatively low voting rates, age matters. Older folks vote with their feet, all the way to the polling stations, while younger…
On crowdsourcing
I’ve previously pointed out the problem with framing electoral outcomes solely in terms of which party wins the most seats. And EKOS’ polling about which single party is most likely…
Tuesday Morning Links
This and that for your Tuesday reading. – George Monbiot reminds us that the mere fact that neoliberal economic theory has failed by any rational measure doesn’t mean there won’t…
Justin Trudeau and the expected reverse voter migrations
The Cat believes that it is almost certain that Justin Trudeau will run for the leadership of the Liberal Party of Canada. If he does not, his credibility would be…
EKOS on State of Play in Canadian politics: Massive Migrations and a Lack of Love
Just in time for discussion by political junkies at their latest BBQs, EKOSon July 13 released their findings on the below surface movements in Canadian political currents. Their findings should…
Robocon: Was the Conservative Party behind the voter suppression in the May 2011 election?
Harper’s Tories have rejected any suggestion that the voter suppression crimes committed before and on the May 2 2011 election were lead by that party. As the seven lawsuits supported…
EKOS Poll Shows Little Movement
There’s very little difference between the last EKOS poll and this one, despite the robocall controversy. The topline numbers (with changes from last poll) are as follows: Con: 31.5% (+0.1)…
Two Polls, Two Minorities
Two polls have come to my attention which show that the situation federally and possibly in Quebec is further deteriorating towards minority governments and three-way races. First, in Quebec, the…
Powerful reason why Horwath should support PR now: her party is bleeding votes
The latest EKOS poll shows one dismaying finding that Andrea Horwath should respond to if she wants to end up on Friday in a position to influence the way the…
Ekos – OLP – 37.8, PCPO 30.6, ONDP 22.7
Ah, good ol' Ekos - just when you needed a new spin thrown your way.The Liberal lead over the Progressive Conservatives appears to be solidifying as the parties approach the…
The closing days of the Ontario campaign
Only a few days left until Ontario voters get out to vote for their next provincial government, and the polls that came out on the weekend still had a neck…
Poll Update – Abacus, Ekos, and the Debates
There's two new polls out for the Ontario election, both showing different results.First up, everyone's favourite pollster, EKOS Research, puts the race at a low 3.5% spread between the Ontario…
Ontario leaders debate tonight is big
We enter the Ontario leaders debate tonight with a new poll from Ekos released today showing the Liberals with a 4 point lead over the PC’s and the NDP in…
Canadian election: Who switched parties in the last week? And why?
The EKOS survey taken after the election throws some interesting light on the Changers. The G&M article is here, and the poll results are herehttp://www.ekospolitics.com/wp-content/uploads/41st_election.pdf.Scott's Diatribes deals with another face...
If younger voters had bothered to vote in Ontario, Harper would have lost.
There was some conventional wisdom out there in pundit land that in the last few days of the May election, the Conservatives and Harper bit of fear-mongering that the NDP…
Tories take lead, or statistical anomaly?
The latest EKOS poll, released to the CBC, show that the Conservatives are holding a 32.4% lead, with the Liberals at 28.9%. The NDP are holding 16.6% support, while the…