The NDP’s 7% problem
The NDP’s biggest problem electorally isn’t a question of policy or values or leadership or connecting with voters or just about anything else perennially brought up to explain their difficulties…
abacus
On political evolution
Both Chantal Hebert and the combination of Bruce Anderson and David Coletto have written recently about the state of federal politics in Quebec, with particular emphasis on what we can…
The Stark Numbers #nlpoli
Anyone who wants to get insight into the political landscape in Newfoundland and Labrador need look no further than the Abacus poll commissioned by VOCM, the first bit of which…
The Abacus Poll for VOCM #nlpoli
A new poll by Abacus Data for VOCM shows the Liberals under Dwight ball leading the governing Conservatives in every region of Newfoundland and Labrador. According to a new VOCM-Abacus…
On phone polling vs internet panels
An interesting article from the CBC talking with the BC Liberals internal pollster, who predicted a Liberal Majority with 48 seats, and was off by only 2 (and by 2…
Unsettled state of voters’ views of leaders good news for Liberals
Especially if Liberal Party members and supporters select Justin Trudeau as their new leader in 2013. Trudeau has lots of room grow and could easily eclipse a much disliked Stephen…
Justin Trudeau and the expected reverse voter migrations
The Cat believes that it is almost certain that Justin Trudeau will run for the leadership of the Liberal Party of Canada. If he does not, his credibility would be…
On potential support
Abacus’ latest federal poll includes some noteworthy data on which voters see a real prospect of shifting their preferences – and particularly on the number of voters who are willing…
Justin Trudeau: Thomas Mulcair’s worst nightmare
If Justin Trudeau was leader of the Liberal Party of Canada and an election was held today, then three of Thomas Mulcair’s nightmare events would take place Firstly, and most…
Abacus Data Poll #AbVote – 41% WRP, 28% PC
This Abacus poll makes it the fourth poll since Ipsos Reid’s 38-38 tie to produce some major momentum for the Wildrosers by placing them ahead of the PCs, and sixth…
Leadership 2012 Roundup
In the lead-up to tomorrow’s official debate in Halifax, the end of this week saw plenty of developments in the NDP leadership race – including both the familiar combination of…
Abacus Poll: 37-28-21, and the "Bump"
Too many polls have come out this week, and I hope this will be the last one (oh, who am I kidding?). Abacus Data shows an overhyped, within-the-margin-of-error rise for…
Last Poll of 2011 – 36.5% Con, 28.7% NDP, 25.6% Lib
This is, of course, a lovely Nanos poll which shows the Liberals somewhat dropping from heights we shouldn’t be at in our current state to more-or-less reasonable levels, though as…
Voodoo Polls Cont’d
Since last post, Abacus Data has come out with a new poll that gives the opposite of what Nik Nanos is showing, with a healthy second place position for the…
Saturday Morning Links
Assorted content for your weekend reading.- Abacus' Canadian polling on the Occupy protests suggests that there's loads of public sympathy for the view that there's a need for change in…
Poll Update – Abacus, Ekos, and the Debates
There's two new polls out for the Ontario election, both showing different results.First up, everyone's favourite pollster, EKOS Research, puts the race at a low 3.5% spread between the Ontario…
Ontario leaders debate tonight is big
We enter the Ontario leaders debate tonight with a new poll from Ekos released today showing the Liberals with a 4 point lead over the PC’s and the NDP in…
When pollsters go after each other.
As you might know if you’re a reader of this blog, I occasionally comment on polls. Today is a slightly different setting. A polling company criticizes and takes to task…
Thursday Morning Links
This and that for your Thursday reading. - Heather Mallick highlights the dangers of the permanent unemployment which regressive politicians around the globe are so vociferously demanding in the guise…
Yet Another Poll Showing The Same Thing Yet Again
Abacus data is not being known for its originality, that's for sure (despite their "Not Your Average Pollster" claim).Their current results put the Conservatives at 38%, the NDP at 32%,…