GO TO OUR CANADA 2011 WEBSITE!
FYI, I will re-directing the blog to the Canada 2011 Election site until the end of the campaign. The direct link is http://democraticspace.com/canada2011. The blog will return after the election…
– 41st Canada Election
PRE-WRIT, CONSERVATIVES IN CONTROL
Here is the pre-writ baseline projection for Friday, March 25… CURRENT PROJECTIONS (through Mar 25) CANADA CPC – avg 158 seats (39.6%) – low 137 (38.1%), high 174 (41.1%) LPC…
PRE-WRIT RIDING BREAKDOWN – GREENS
GREEN (as of 25 Mar) SAFE (> 10 pt ahead) = 0 >>> absolute minimum = 0 seats STRONG (5-10 pt ahead) = 0 >>> likely low = 0 seats…
PRE-WRIT RIDING BREAKDOWN – BLOC QUEBECOIS
BLOC QUEBECOIS (as of 25 Mar) SAFE (> 10 pt ahead) = 40 >>> absolute minimum = 40 seats STRONG (5-10 pt ahead) = 3 >>> likely low = 43…
PRE-WRIT RIDING BREAKDOWN – NDP
NDP (as of 25 Mar) SAFE (> 10 pt ahead) = 17 >>> absolute minimum = 17 seats STRONG (5-10 pt ahead) = 8 >>> likely low = 25 seats…
PRE-WRIT RIDING BREAKDOWN – LIBERALS
LIBERAL (as of 25 Mar) SAFE (> 10 pt ahead) = 42 >>> absolute minimum = 42 seats STRONG (5-10 pt ahead) = 15 >>> likely low = 57 seats…
PRE-WRIT RIDING BREAKDOWN – CONSERVATIVES
CONSERVATIVE (as of 25 Mar) SAFE (> 10 pt ahead) = 123 >>> absolute minimum = 123 seats STRONG (5-10 pt ahead) = 14 >>> likely low = 137 seats…
March 20 Seat Projections
New Ekos, Ipsos and Leger polls in the past week, so here are the latest projections — Conservatives hovering right around majority territory… CURRENT PROJECTIONS (through Mar 20) CANADA CPC…
CONSERVATIVES CLOSE TO MAJORITY TERRITORY
With talk of a spring election heating up, I thought it would be useful to check where things currently stand — as you can see from the number below, the…