World elections, update
As we focus on Quebec, elsewhere in the world, elections continue as normal. In Australia, a re-run of the Western Australia senate race was held, due to lost ballots seeing…
TheNewTeddy
Quebec Election, how crazy could it get?
As I tried to hint at, in my post 2nd debate posting, who won the debate (IE Couillard or Marois) may not have told us the full story (cause Legault…
Final Quebec Prediction, PQ slaughter
Marois may lose her own seat. The math alone tells me that Marois is going to find herself in a very close battle in her own seat. At the ratio…
Quebec Penultimate Prediction
A fresh poll by Ekos confirms the existing trends. With that I’ve been able to *almost* finalize the prediction map. The PQ is below my worst expectations. Beyond that however,…
Quebec in the closing days
This is my current prediction, with projection elements. By that I mean I’ve added real hard math while keeping the ability to adjust for local factors and “gut” feelings. The…
An April Fools prediction on Quebec
308 did an excellent job today explaining why the CAQ internal poll should not be counted as a regular poll. I’ll expand on that. 1 – We don’t know all…
Quebec Sunday Prediction – on Monday!
I had hoped that waiting another day would add another poll, but not so. Thus I do not have many words for you today. Things generally stand as they have…
Teddy’s Projection – Canada
Last Sunday, as a bonus, I put out a Canadian prediction; since I had put out a Quebec prediction after the Debate. Due to feedback on my prediction, I decided…
Sunday Prediction – Canada
Given that there have been 0 polls since the Debate, I decided this Sunday I’ll do a prediction for Canada. No real analysis. I simply used polling averages and trendlines.…
Elections around the world
First, a little teaser, based on the reaction I’ve seen, so far, to the Debate (which just ended) in Quebec. Marois, from what I can tell, had a terrible debate.…
Sunday Prediction, Liberal majority?
The latest prediction is for a Liberal majority. This is based on trends; IE the Liberals keep doing better than better while the PQ seems to be in trouble in…
Teddy’s Sunday Prediction – Quebec
It’s been suggested in the comments – and yes I do listen, even to the ones I dispute – that I am unclear. I will thus try something a bit…
Atlantic Polls
I’ll note that since the last Nova Scotia election was rather recent, and since the poll does not show a radical change from that result, I will not be covering…
Quebec Election – 2014
Pauline Marois has triggered an election, set for April 7th, to decide the future of Quebec. I want to first tackle a claim made by some about the timing of…
Crazy day
One of the busier news days in quite a while. Let me try to summarize what is going on. 1 – Quebec Election.This will take place on April 7th, in…
Thought Experiment: provincial vs federal votes
In 2011, we had a Federal and Provincial election, here in Ontario, within 6 months of one another. In the Provincial election, we had the following results:1,625,102 – OLP (vote…
More on Ukraine
This post has been a work-in-progress for a few days. I therefore apologize if it does not flow terribly well, as things have changed so fast, I’ve had to make…
Largest possible Liberal majority (at this time)
During the convention, a “poll” was released; one that was clearly written in such a way to favour the party. The basic question was would you vote for a Liberal…
Various Updates
Welcome back; Liberals who have returned from the Convention. Teddy here to give you guys a quick recap of what’s been going on in the news. 1 – UkraineMany changes…
Ukraine, today a different country.
Little did I know when I made my post on the country yesterday, that so much would change by today. I had planned on going though a second post to…