MULCAIR OVER NASH 55-45 ON 5TH BALLOT?
Here’s one guess at how the NDP leadership balloting could play out… 1ST BALLOT Mulcair – 31-33% Nash – 18-20% Cullen – 14-16% Dewar – 13-15% Topp – 12-14% Ashton…
Greg Morrow
Broadbent Comments About Mulcair Betray NDP Principles
Given that Thomas Mulcair the perceived front-runner in the NDP leadership race, it’s not surprising that rival campaigns would attack him. It is perhaps a bit more surprising when a…
Mulcair the best choice for NDP leader
Seeing the extreme positions taken by Republican candidates in the U.S. gives us a clue as to the typical dynamic of leadership races –- first, having to win over a…
DemocraticSPACE Projects Liberal Majority in Ontario
Here are DemocraticSPACE’s average projections for the Ontario election. Keep in mind that there is actually a range of outcomes (the #s below represent the average). Riding-by-riding projections are here:…
Ontario Election Seat Projections
see http://bit.ly/rtk0SE for riding-by-riding estimates Liberal – 47 seats (35.8%) PC – 40 seats (34.4%) NDP – 20 seats (24.3%) Green – 0 seats (4.2%)
GO TO OUR CANADA 2011 WEBSITE!
FYI, I will re-directing the blog to the Canada 2011 Election site until the end of the campaign. The direct link is http://democraticspace.com/canada2011. The blog will return after the election…
PRE-WRIT, CONSERVATIVES IN CONTROL
Here is the pre-writ baseline projection for Friday, March 25… CURRENT PROJECTIONS (through Mar 25) CANADA CPC – avg 158 seats (39.6%) – low 137 (38.1%), high 174 (41.1%) LPC…
PRE-WRIT RIDING BREAKDOWN – GREENS
GREEN (as of 25 Mar) SAFE (> 10 pt ahead) = 0 >>> absolute minimum = 0 seats STRONG (5-10 pt ahead) = 0 >>> likely low = 0 seats…
PRE-WRIT RIDING BREAKDOWN – BLOC QUEBECOIS
BLOC QUEBECOIS (as of 25 Mar) SAFE (> 10 pt ahead) = 40 >>> absolute minimum = 40 seats STRONG (5-10 pt ahead) = 3 >>> likely low = 43…
PRE-WRIT RIDING BREAKDOWN – NDP
NDP (as of 25 Mar) SAFE (> 10 pt ahead) = 17 >>> absolute minimum = 17 seats STRONG (5-10 pt ahead) = 8 >>> likely low = 25 seats…
PRE-WRIT RIDING BREAKDOWN – LIBERALS
LIBERAL (as of 25 Mar) SAFE (> 10 pt ahead) = 42 >>> absolute minimum = 42 seats STRONG (5-10 pt ahead) = 15 >>> likely low = 57 seats…
PRE-WRIT RIDING BREAKDOWN – CONSERVATIVES
CONSERVATIVE (as of 25 Mar) SAFE (> 10 pt ahead) = 123 >>> absolute minimum = 123 seats STRONG (5-10 pt ahead) = 14 >>> likely low = 137 seats…
March 20 Seat Projections
New Ekos, Ipsos and Leger polls in the past week, so here are the latest projections — Conservatives hovering right around majority territory… CURRENT PROJECTIONS (through Mar 20) CANADA CPC…
CONSERVATIVES CLOSE TO MAJORITY TERRITORY
With talk of a spring election heating up, I thought it would be useful to check where things currently stand — as you can see from the number below, the…
What’s Up Doc?
FYI, my apologies for the dearth of postings on DS for the last while. Apart from a pretty quiet Canadian political scene, I haven’t had much spare time of late…