If polls are to be believed, the Liberals are dominating in Ontario. Grenier’s poll tracker projects the Liberal support in Ontario at 43% and the Conservatives down to 31%: Ontario Polls from Poll Tracker This shift against Harper is showing up on the ground in ridings that one would normally assume are
Continue readingTag: strategic voting
Bouquets of Gray: Strategic voting in Perth-Wellington: vote Liberal
If polls are to be believed, the Liberals are dominating in Ontario. Grenier’s poll tracker projects the Liberal support in Ontario at 43% and the Conservatives down to 31%: Ontario Polls from Poll Tracker This shift against Harper is showing up on the ground in ridings that one would normally assume are
Continue readingBouquets of Gray: Calgary Confederation, Skyview, and Centre: strategic voters should support the Liberals
Calgary Conferation,Calgary Skyview,Calgary Centre This election has a few more surprises than most, and the fracturing of the Conservatives’ fortress in Calgary might be one of them. A news story from the CBC reports that three Calgary ridings are surprisingly competitive: Calgary Centre, Calgary Confederation, and Calgary Skyview. This is also the
Continue readingBouquets of Gray: Calgary Confederation, Skyview, and Centre: strategic voters should support the Liberals
Update, Oct. 17. A new poll in Calgary Centre has the Liberals and Conservatives neck-and-neck. Strategic voters could make the difference.
Calgary Conferation, Calgary Skyview, Calgary Centre |
This election has a few more surprises than most, and the fracturing of the Conservatives’ fortress in Calgary might be one of them.
A news story from the CBC reports that three Calgary ridings are surprisingly competitive: Calgary Centre, Calgary Confederation, and Calgary Skyview.
This is also the interpretation of Eric Grenier over at threehundredeight.com. His current projections for the Calgary ridings paint three ridings red: Calgary Centre, Calgary Confederation, and Calgary Skyview
Calgary projections from threehundredeight.com |
The striking thing is not merely that Grenier’s a projecting these three seat for the Liberals. It is also seeing weakness in other ridings such as Signal Hill and Forest Lawn.
- Strategic voting in Nipissing—Timiskaming: vote Liberal
- Strategic voting in Perth-Wellington: vote Liberal
- Strategic Voting in Hamilton West-Ancaster-Dundas: vote Liberal
- Strategic voting in Cariboo-Prince George: vote NDP
- Strategic voting in Central Nova: vote Liberal
- Strategic voting in Haldimand-Norfolk: vote Liberal
- Strategic voting in Courtney-Alberni: vote NDP
- Strategic voting in Oshawa: vote NDP
- Strategic voting in Peterborough—Kawartha: vote Liberal
- Strategic voting in South Okanagan-West Kootenay: vote NDP
- Strategic voting Kootenay-Columbia: vote NDP
- Strategic voting in Winnipeg South: vote Liberal
- Strategic voting in Kanata-Carleton: vote Liberal
- Strategic voting in South Okanagan-West Kootenay: vote NDP
- Strategic voting in Misissauga East-Cooksville: vote Liberal
Bouquets of Gray: Calgary Confederation, Skyview, and Centre: strategic voters should support the Liberals
Update, Oct. 17. A new poll in Calgary Centre has the Liberals and Conservatives neck-and-neck. Strategic voters could make the difference. Calgary Conferation,Calgary Skyview,Calgary Centre This election has a few more surprises than most, and the fracturing of the Conservatives’ fortress in Calgary might be one of them. A news
Continue readingBouquets of Gray: Strategic voting in Edmonton Mill Woods: vote Liberal
Strategic voting inEdmonton Mill Woods Recent local polls are bringing up some more opportunities for strategic voters, one of them is Edmonton Millwoods. Edmonton Millwoods is a new riding located in south-east Edmonton. It was formed from the previous riding of Edmonton-Millwoods-Beaumont, which was once represented by Liberal David Kilgour. A
Continue readingBouquets of Gray: Strategic voting in Edmonton Mill Woods: vote Liberal
Strategic voting inEdmonton Mill Woods Recent local polls are bringing up some more opportunities for strategic voters, one of them is Edmonton Millwoods. Edmonton Millwoods is a new riding located in south-east Edmonton. It was formed from the previous riding of Edmonton-Millwoods-Beaumont, which was once represented by Liberal David Kilgour. A
Continue readingBouquets of Gray: Strategic voting in Edmonton Mill Woods: vote Liberal
Strategic voting in Edmonton Mill Woods |
Recent local polls are bringing up some more opportunities for strategic voters, one of them is Edmonton Millwoods.
Edmonton Millwoods is a new riding located in south-east Edmonton. It was formed from the previous riding of Edmonton-Millwoods-Beaumont, which was once represented by Liberal David Kilgour.
A new poll conducted by MainStreet Research for the Friends of Canadian Broadcasting suggests that the riding could be in play:
New Poll in Edmonton Mill Woods |
Some recent posts:
- Strategic voting in Nipissing—Timiskaming: vote Liberal
- Strategic voting in Perth-Wellington: vote Liberal
- Strategic voting in Edmonton Mill Woods: vote Liberal
- Strategic Voting in Hamilton West-Ancaster-Dundas: vote Liberal
- Strategic voting in Bruce-Grey-Owen Sound: vote Liberal
- Strategic voting in Cariboo-Prince George: vote NDP
- Strategic voting in Central Nova: vote Liberal
- Strategic voting in Haldimand-Norfolk: vote Liberal
- Strategic voting in Courtney-Alberni: vote NDP
- Strategic voting in Oshawa: vote NDP
- Strategic voting in Winnipeg South: vote Liberal
- Strategic voting in Kanata-Carleton: vote Liberal
- Strategic voting in South Okanagan-West Kootenay: vote NDP
- Strategic voting in Misissauga East-Cooksville: vote Liberal
Bouquets of Gray: Strategic Voting in Hamilton West-Ancaster-Dundas: vote Liberal
Update, Oct. 17: the votetogether.ca team has endorsed Tassi, the Liberal candidate in Hamilton West-Ancaster-Dundas, as the best positioned to defeat the Conservatives. Strategic Voting in Hamilton West-Ancaster-Dundas Hamilton West-Ancaster-Dundas (HWAD) is a new riding made up of the urban and suburban parts of what used to be Ancaster-Dundas-Flamorough-Westdale. Its
Continue readingBouquets of Gray: Strategic Voting in Hamilton West-Ancaster-Dundas: vote Liberal
Update, Oct. 17: the votetogether.ca team has endorsed Tassi, the Liberal candidate in Hamilton West-Ancaster-Dundas, as the best positioned to defeat the Conservatives.
Strategic Voting in Hamilton West-Ancaster-Dundas |
Hamilton West-Ancaster-Dundas (HWAD) is a new riding made up of the urban and suburban parts of what used to be Ancaster-Dundas-Flamorough-Westdale. Its formation resulted in the rural polls of Flamborough being joined with Glanborough to form a new largely rural riding.
HWAD should now be a three-way race, with Conservative voters from upscale Ancaster and Dundas, NDP voters from Hamilton, and Liberals from both. And it should be an active riding for all parties, because the McMaster student base should become active in all three parties.
Strategic voting in HWAD |
If the 2011 are redistributed into the new riding (see here), the result would have been CPC 40%, NDP 28%, Liberal 25%. But in this election, most polls are showing the Liberals have strengthened in Ontario at the expense of both other parties.
Threehundredeight.com projects a Liberal victory here, with the lower bounds of their expected tally above the upper limit of the Conservative.
Now there is a new local poll that confirms that result. Mainstreet Research conducted a poll of the riding for Friends of Canadian Broadcasting. It found the Liberals in the lead:
Hamilton West-Ancaster-Dundas |
- Strategic voting in Nipissing—Timiskaming: vote Liberal
- Strategic voting in Perth-Wellington: vote Liberal
- Strategic Voting in Hamilton West-Ancaster-Dundas: vote Liberal
- Strategic voting in Bruce-Grey-Owen Sound: vote Liberal
- Strategic voting in Cariboo-Prince George: vote NDP
- Strategic voting in Central Nova: vote Liberal
- Strategic voting in Haldimand-Norfolk: vote Liberal
- Strategic voting in Courtney-Alberni: vote NDP
- Strategic voting in Oshawa: vote NDP
- Strategic voting in Winnipeg South: vote Liberal
- Strategic voting in South Okanagan-West Kootenay: vote NDP
- Strategic voting in Misissauga East-Cooksville: vote Liberal
Bouquets of Gray: Strategic Voting in Hamilton West-Ancaster-Dundas: New poll show Liberal lead
Strategic Voting in Hamilton West-Ancaster-Dundas Hamilton West-Ancaster-Dundas (HWAD) is a new riding made up of the urban and suburban parts of what used to be Ancaster-Dundas-Flamorough-Westdale. Its formation resulted in the rural polls of Flamborough being joined with Glanborough to form a new largely rural riding. HWAD should now be
Continue readingThe Canadian Progressive: 8 Ridings Where Voters Can Defeat Harper by Strategically Voting NDP
A Vancouver-based data scientist recently identified 8 riding where voters can move a step closer to defeating Stephen Harper – and installing Thomas Mulcair as Canada’s next prime minister – by strategically voting NDP on Oct. 19. The post 8 Ridings Where Voters Can Defeat Harper by Strategically Voting NDP
Continue readingBouquets of Gray: Strategic voting in Bruce-Grey-Owen Sound: vote Liberal
Strategic voting in Bruce-Grey-Owen Sound A new local poll reveals another riding that is surprisingly competitive: Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound, which includes the city of Owen Sound and towns such as Port Elgin, Southampton, Walkerton, Wiarton, Lucknow, Hanover, and Meaford. The riding has been reliably Conservative since 2004, sending Larry Miller to Ottawa
Continue readingBouquets of Gray: Strategic voting in Bruce-Grey-Owen Sound: vote Liberal
Strategic voting in Bruce-Grey-Owen Sound |
A new local poll reveals another riding that is surprisingly competitive: Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound, which includes the city of Owen Sound and towns such as Port Elgin, Southampton, Walkerton, Wiarton, Lucknow, Hanover, and Meaford.
The riding has been reliably Conservative since 2004, sending Larry Miller to Ottawa with ever increasing margins.
The voters of Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound, however, may have had enough of the Conservatives.
A poll in the riding in September showed some weakness and a new poll released today confirms that:
To judge from today’s poll, the Liberals may be within striking distance if a few more Greens and NDP back them.
- Strategic voting in Nipissing—Timiskaming: vote Liberal
- Strategic voting in Perth-Wellington: vote Liberal
- Strategic voting in Edmonton Mill Woods: vote Liberal
- Strategic Voting in Hamilton West-Ancaster-Dundas: vote Liberal
- Strategic voting in Bruce-Grey-Owen Sound: vote Liberal
- Strategic voting in Cariboo-Prince George: vote NDP
- Strategic voting in Central Nova: vote Liberal
- Strategic voting in Haldimand-Norfolk: vote Liberal
- Strategic voting in Courtney-Alberni: vote NDP
- Strategic voting in Oshawa: vote NDP
- Strategic voting in Winnipeg South: vote Liberal
- Strategic voting in Kanata-Carleton: vote Liberal
- Strategic voting in South Okanagan-West Kootenay: vote NDP
- Strategic voting in Misissauga East-Cooksville: vote Liberal
Bouquets of Gray: Strategic voting in Bruce-Grey-Owen Sound: vote Liberal
Strategic voting in Bruce-Grey-Owen Sound A new local poll reveals another riding that is surprisingly competitive: Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound, which includes the city of Owen Sound and towns such as Port Elgin, Southampton, Walkerton, Wiarton, Lucknow, Hanover, and Meaford. The riding has been reliably Conservative since 2004, sending Larry Miller to Ottawa
Continue readingBouquets of Gray: Strategic voting in Cariboo-Prince George: vote NDP
Strategic voting in Cariboo-Prince George Cariboo-Prince George is large and remote, making up some 80,000 sq. km. of central BC and includes the cities of Quesnel and Williams Lake. Cariboo-Prince George is not a place that one would expect the Conservatives to be vulnerable—it has been reliably Conservative since the
Continue readingBouquets of Gray: Strategic voting in Cariboo-Prince George: vote NDP
Strategic voting in Cariboo-Prince George |
Cariboo-Prince George is large and remote, making up some 80,000 sq. km. of central BC and includes the cities of Quesnel and Williams Lake.
Cariboo-Prince George is not a place that one would expect the Conservatives to be vulnerable—it has been reliably Conservative since the late 70s.
Recent polls, however, show that the NDP could defeat them here:
The key is that anti-Harper voters support the NDP.
Some recent posts:
- Strategic Voting in Hamilton West-Ancaster-Dundas: vote Liberal
- Strategic voting in Cariboo-Prince George: vote NDP
- Strategic voting in Central Nova: vote Liberal
- Strategic voting in Haldimand-Norfolk: vote Liberal
- Strategic voting in Courtney-Alberni: vote NDP
- Strategic voting in Oshawa: vote NDP
- Strategic voting in Peterborough—Kawartha: vote Liberal
- Strategic voting in South Okanagan-West Kootenay: vote NDP
- Strategic voting Kootenay-Columbia: vote NDP
- Strategic voting in Winnipeg South: vote Liberal
- Strategic voting in Kanata-Carleton: vote Liberal
- Strategic voting in South Okanagan-West Kootenay: vote NDP
- Strategic voting in Misissauga East-Cooksville: vote Liberal
Bouquets of Gray: Strategic voting in Cariboo-Prince George: vote NDP
Strategic voting in Cariboo-Prince George Cariboo-Prince George is large and remote, making up some 80,000 sq. km. of central BC and includes the cities of Quesnel and Williams Lake. Cariboo-Prince George is not a place that one would expect the Conservatives to be vulnerable—it has been reliably Conservative since the
Continue readingBouquets of Gray: Strategic Voting in Central Nova: vote Liberal
Strategic voting in Central Nova The riding of Central Nova in Nova Scotia is a riding where strategic voting could make a difference. Its long-time MP, Peter MacKay, is not standing for re-election. MacKay had won with over 50% of the vote, and his decision to retire from politics hurts
Continue readingBouquets of Gray: Strategic Voting in Central Nova: vote Liberal
Strategic voting in Central Nova The riding of Central Nova in Nova Scotia is a riding where strategic voting could make a difference. Its long-time MP, Peter MacKay, is not standing for re-election. MacKay had won with over 50% of the vote, and his decision to retire from politics hurts
Continue reading