Tag: PollTracker

CuriosityCat: If this holds, Stephen Harper gets his pink slip on October 19


… and joins the ranks of unemployed prime ministers.
Today (October 8) the CBC Poll Tracker shows the Liberal Party with the most seats for the very first time:

Pause for a moment, all you progressives out there, and give three cheers! With only 11 days to go, the Red Tide is running strongly. Harper publicly promised to Canadians during his interview with Peter Mansbridge of the CBC that should another party win more seats that the Conservative Party does, he would immediately resign.
And in a recent interview with Rosemary Barton, he did not say outright that he would stay on Leader of the Opposition if the CPC came in second. Should that happen, and Harper not want that post, he would have to resign as leader of the CPC so that another leader may play that role. Best bet right now would be Kenney, given the paucity of senior Tories still running.
Now all we need to do is vote at the advance polls starting this Friday, and take along at least one younger voter to help remedy the lack of voting by those younger than 35. Voting now helps reduce the voter suppression methods that cropped up last time and could happen again this time: robocalls and incorrect voter registration cards sending voters to the wrong polling booths.
And starting in early November, we can take the first steps towards appointing the commission that will, within 18 months, replace the archaic first past the post electoral system with a new, more democratic system of choosing our MPs.
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CuriosityCat: Another 4 LPC seats and Harper resigns on October 19

The Poll Tracker for October 5 shows the steady surge of Liberal Party votes, and translates the various polls into a national seat projection.
Harper told Peter Mansbridge that if the Conservatives won one seat less than any other party, he would immediately resign as prime minister.
With two weeks to go, the Liberals only need four (that’s right! 4!) more seats to reach the Harper Resignation total:

While you are at the site, check the seat projections and polls for Battlegrounds BC and Ontario.
And help make Harper’s decision easier by voting in the advance poll; take someone younger than you along to vote as well.
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CuriosityCat: Poll Tracker: Harper 125 Mulcair + Trudeau 211 = New Government on October 19

Here’s the stark facts of the state of play from today’s CBC/308 Poll Tracker:

Note that Harper’s Conservatives are still far short of a majority, the only way that Harper will remain prime minister, given the emphatic rejections by both Mulcair and Trudeau of either opposition party voting confidence in a Harper minority government.
So Harper needs to reach the magical number of 170 seats to stay in power after election day October 19.
And notice that in Ontario, the projected seat total for the Liberals and Conservatives are almost equal today – 53 Conservative, 50 Liberal – with the NDP picking up 18. That’s a decline of 20 seats for Harper’s ‘new’ Conservatives in Battleground Ontario. AND THAT’S WITHOUT ANY MEANINGFUL STRATEGIC VOTING BY LPC AND NDP VOTERS IN TORY-HELD RIDINGS!

Flip through the Poll Tracker regional seat projections. Note the decline in Conservative seats right across the country?
No place is safe for the Harper brand.
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