A new Angus Reid poll underscores the changing, ambivalent nature of Canadian attitudes towards religion, but there are many things about the poll that concern me and make me question its methodology and whether an inherent bias influenced the results. First of all, what is “religion”? That may seem obvious,
Continue readingTag: Polls
CuriosityCat: 2015 Election: Quebec holds, Ontario rises for Liberals says Abacus poll
On guard Hat tip to BigCityLibfor pointing the way to the latest Abacus poll. The devil is in the regional breakdown, because national poll numbers are relatively useless in Canada. There are 4 big battlegrounds, with only 3 really in contention: the prairies are Tory blue; BC is a nightmare
Continue readingThe Sir Robert Bond Papers: Budget ignorance abounds #nlpoli
The provincial government’s own economics and statistics agency conducted a telephone survey for the budget consultations this year. They released the results along with the questions and some details about how they conducted the poll. Let’s just look at the answers to some of the questions, as presented by the
Continue readingScott's DiaTribes: Contradictory polls
So we have a couple of polls out today: Ekos (who is behind a paywall) has the CPC suddenly leading by 3% 35-32 over the LPC due to a sudden “surge” in support for them in Quebec – 26% or so. Meanwhile, Leger (who is not behind a paywall) has
Continue readingCuriosityCat: 2015 & Santa Claus: Fluid electorate gives all parties a chance
Pollster Nick Nanos has just released a Christmas goodie for the party leaders of the three parties vying to form the next government of Canada. Based on just one question – how fluid the electorate is – either one of these three parties could form a majority government come the
Continue readingProgressive Proselytizing: The NDP’s 7% problem
The NDP’s biggest problem electorally isn’t a question of policy or values or leadership or connecting with voters or just about anything else perennially brought up to explain their difficulties in the polls both federally and provincially across Cana…
Continue readingProgressive Proselytizing: The NDP’s 7% problem
The NDP’s biggest problem electorally isn’t a question of policy or values or leadership or connecting with voters or just about anything else perennially brought up to explain their difficulties in the polls both federally and provincially across Canada. Their big problem comes down to one stat: only 7% of
Continue readingProgressive Proselytizing: The NDP’s 7% problem
The NDP’s biggest problem electorally isn’t a question of policy or values or leadership or connecting with voters or just about anything else perennially brought up to explain their difficulties in the polls both federally and provincially across Canada. Their big problem comes down to one stat: only 7% of
Continue readingThe Sir Robert Bond Papers: The October 2014 NTV/MQO Poll Numbers #nlpoli
NTV commissioned NTV to poll opinion about the provincial Conservatives a month after Paul Davis took over as Premier. The party choice numbers are simple enough: Liberals at 37, Conservatives at 16, the NDP at just six percent, and undecided at 40. Leadership numbers Put Dwight Ball of the Liberals
Continue readingThe Sir Robert Bond Papers: Voter Choice #nlpoli
When Kathy Dunderdale jumped or was flicked out of office in the first part of 2014, CRA boss Don Mills issued a release covering his company’s February 2014 self-promotion poll that claimed that Tom Marshall was doing wonders for the Conservative party because public satisfaction with the government was up
Continue readingTrashy's World: I might sound like a broken record…
…because over and over I have said that Nanos is the ONLY pollster worth watching. Here is why (emphasis mine): Some key observations on this evening’s Ontario election: Tonight’s election results suggest that even though there was a general perception in the media that Tim Hudak won the debate with
Continue readingScott's DiaTribes: Wynne & OLP have (polling) momentum going into debate
… or so it would appear from the latest polling. Ekos had a 5 pt OLP lead yesterday, while Abacus had a 2 or 7 pt OLP lead (depending on their likely voter or all voter screen), and today Nanos finally enters the polling arena. The Nanos polling company has
Continue readingPOLL: Ontario Election – Who Has the Best Bus?
Will Kathleen Wynne’s steady hands stay at 10 and 2? How many of Tim Hudak’s million jobs are for designing bus wrap slogans? What’s the insurance rate for Andrea Horwath’s campaign vehicle? Transportation, already a prominent issue in the 2014 provincial election, intersects with many aspects of politics, policy, and
Continue readingThe Liberal Scarf: Mapping out past Quebec election results – vote splits and vote efficiency make the different in Quebec provincial elections
In preparation for the Quebec provincial election on Monday, I mapped out some past Quebec election results, comparing the vote and seat share received by each party. Click the graph to embiggen, the vote share is on the left, seat share on the right. In Quebec elections, the Parti Quebecois
Continue readingThe Liberal Scarf: Mapping out past Quebec election results – vote splits and vote efficiency make the different in Quebec provincial elections
In preparation for the Quebec provincial election on Monday, I mapped out some past Quebec election results, comparing the vote and seat share received by each party. Click the graph to embiggen, the vote share is on the left, seat share on the right. In Quebec elections, the Parti Quebecois
Continue readingThe Liberal Scarf: Mapping out past Quebec election results – vote splits and vote efficiency make the different in Quebec provincial elections
In preparation for the Quebec provincial election on Monday, I mapped out some past Quebec election results, comparing the vote and seat share received by each party. Click the graph to embiggen, the vote share is on the left, seat share on the right.I…
Continue readingCuriosityCat: Quebec election: 20 days and 5%
Premier Marois’ Lobster Strategy What a difference a campaign can make! Just four weeks ago, it seemed the Marois-led PQ juggernaut was a shoo-in for a majority government in the province of Quebec, and now it seems the wheels have fallen off the machine, as pollster Three Hundred Eight illustrates.
Continue readingThe Canadian Progressive: Majority of Canadians Oppose Harper’s “Unfair Elections Act”: POLL
by: Council of Canadians | Press Release A new poll released today shows that a majority of Canadians oppose central features of the so-called “Fair” Elections Act, known as Bill C-23. The provisions in the Unfair Elections Act that would eliminate the voucher system, prevent Elections Canada from publicly reporting on election fraud,
Continue readingCuriosityCat: Election 2015: The Crossing of the Curves
Andre Turcotte – the Curves Tracker Sometimes a picture is really worth a thousand words, much to the consternation of the conservatives huddled in Ottawa for the annual Manning Centre rightwing navel-gazing gathering. Pollster Turcotte presented a series of graphs showing what a poll of a thousand Canadians today think
Continue readingMontreal Simon: Stephen Harper and the Disastrous Decline of the Harper Regime
Well there is still a day and a half left in 2013, but it looks as if Stephen Harper is going to make after all. Crawling on all fours. With his reputation in tatters. Read more »
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