You’d think the results of so many polls would result in a fairly settled expectation of how many voters will vote for one of the two presidential candidates, but not so. The Republicans believe the polls are skewed and do not reflect the reality on the ground. Therefore, the race
Continue readingTag: Polls
Scott's DiaTribes: Polls on Liberal (would-be) contenders and NDP leads.
You might have seen a poll out in the past couple of days from Forum Research stating that if Justin Trudeau became Liberal Party leader, he’d receive 39% of the vote, Stephen Harper’s CPC getting 32% and the NDP reverting back to their long held 3rd party status with 20%.
Continue readingCuriosityCat: Justin Trudeau: The Tide Turneth
The National Post has an exclusive poll that shows that the Liberal Party would win a national election if Justin Trudeau became its leader: In an exclusive poll conducted for the National Post, Forum found if Mr. Trudeau were leader of the Liberal Party and an election were held today,
Continue readingCuriosityCat: Unsettled state of voters’ views of leaders good news for Liberals
Especially if Liberal Party members and supporters select Justin Trudeau as their new leader in 2013. Trudeau has lots of room grow and could easily eclipse a much disliked Stephen Harper, as a recent Abacus Data poll shows: Trudeau delivers … But whereas Harper is only marginally behind on favourability,
Continue readingCuriosityCat: Harris-Decima Poll: Has Thomas Mulcair’s waffling cost NDP support?
Has Mulcair’s waffling caused voters to start a fresh appraisal of the Mulcair-led Dippers? That just might be the case according to the latest poll showing slippage: Waffling Thomas A new poll gives the governing party a seven-point lead over the Opposition New Democrats — a cushion they may need
Continue readingCanadian Progressive: Right-wing Toronto Mayor Rob Ford should step down: POLL
Fifty-five per cent Torontonians want their right-wing Mayor Rob Ford to leave office if he is found guilty in the ongoing conflict of interest case, according to the results of a recent poll by Forum Research. Can you blame them? Last week, Ford appeared in court in a conflict of interest case
Continue readingThe Sir Robert Bond Papers: The sum of all fears #nlpoli
Kathy Dunderdale says that it is gratifying to have the support of the majority of the people of the province, as recent polls show, according to the Premier. In another corner, former natural resources minister Shawn Skinner thinks it is great that the Conservatives have the support of six in
Continue readingThe Sir Robert Bond Papers: Who wants to play Brutus? #nlpoli
Just as they ate up the Corporate Research Associates’ quarterly poll when the numbers favoured the local Conservatives, the local media have reported the latest CRA numbers with equal enthusiasm now that the Tory numbers are lousy. To put it simply, the numbers confirmed the general thrust of two recent
Continue readingCalgary Grit: Quebec Votes Tonight
Today, Quebecers head to the polls, ready to elect what may be the least scary PQ government in the province’s history. That’s not a commentary on Marois, who is running on a disgustingly xenophobic platform. But even if the PQ gets a majority, it will be a majority built on
Continue readingCuriosityCat: Justin Trudeau and the expected reverse voter migrations
The Cat believes that it is almost certain that Justin Trudeau will run for the leadership of the Liberal Party of Canada. If he does not, his credibility would be severely dented should he wish to become leader at some future date. The party needs him now. The country needs
Continue readingCalgary Grit: Your Guess is as Good as Mine
Three parties entered the Quebec election with a chance to win, and while the PQ appears to be stumbling to victory, it’s nearly impossible to predict what will happen on Tuesday. Of course, that’s not stopping anyone. La Presse (thanks to CROP) projects a PQ minority, while the National Post
Continue readingThe Sir Robert Bond Papers: The Permanent Echo Chamber of Horrors #nlpoli
To borrow a phrase from Quebec Premier Jean Charest the other day, Twitter is a conversation between apparatchiks and journalists. That’s pretty much it, although in Newfoundland and Labrador as elsewhere a few other people weigh into the exchanges. The political Twitter world is a variation of the echo chamber.
Continue readingThe Sir Robert Bond Papers: The politics of gas price fixing #nlpoli
Gas prices used to be a hot political topic in Newfoundland and Labrador. A lot of people thought that the provincial government could do a lot about them and, in the process, protect consumers. Others thought that the government should do something about prices and make it easier for people
Continue readingCanadian Progressive: Your Choice For Canada’s Next Top Soldier Is? (POLL)
Prime Minister Stephen Harper is reportedly involved in the selection of Canada’s next top soldier, the Chief of Defence Staff.
Continue readingCalgary Grit: Trudeau’s Poll Position
Many Canadians polled have heard of this man It’s no secret that Liberals love power above all else, so it’s hard for any Liberal to stay immune to Trudeaumania when you see headlines like “Justin Trudeau could lead Liberals to first place, new poll shows” or “Trudeau could be Grits’
Continue readingImpolitical: Fun with headlines, etc.
“Liberal leadership: Justin Trudeau could lead Liberals to first place, new poll shows.” Um, what? I read this report twice. But nowhere do I see in that Star report anything to support the sensational headline. He’s first in one online poll on possible Liberal candidate names, yes. Vaunting the party
Continue readingCuriosityCat: Are pollsters going to muddle the cooperation issue yet again?
It seems that our pollsters have difficulty in appreciating that voters are sophisticated, and appreciate the differences between the choices facing them. Voters understand the differences between (1) an outright merger of the NDP and LPC (under which both parties cease their independent existence and become one entity), (2) a
Continue readingA BCer in Toronto: Question for Liberals isn’t should we merge, it’s should we exist
An Ipsospoll released over the weekend claiming a majority of Liberal and NDP supporters (voters, not necessarily activists) favour merging the parties has re-ignited the debate about whether or not a merger of the parties makes sense. Well, at least online, as I can count on one hand the number
Continue readingImpolitical: Liberal pollapalooza
Are you enjoying the headlines of the past few days? An Ipsos-Reid online poll of 1,000 respondents taken from June 5-7 seems to be generating a fair bit of content for Postmedia. A casual reader would likely have the impression that multiple polls had been taken given the multiple platforms
Continue readingScott's DiaTribes: Brief thoughts on Bob Rae running or not running
There was a bit of a dustup online (amongst Liberals anyhow) over this story CBC broke yesterday: Interim Liberal Leader Bob Rae will be permitted to run in his party’s leadership race and he is expected to enter the race, CBC News has learned…Party President Mike Crawley said a motion
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