Two different polls from two different pollsters using two different polling methods have shown basically the same thing: the New Democrats and Conservatives are duking it out for second place, both of whom remain well behind the Liberals who hold a massive lead in provincial politics. Corporate Research Associates (May)
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The Sir Robert Bond Papers: Q2 2015 Poll Speculation #nlpoli
Corporate Research Associates boss Don Mills has done a good job of teasing the results of his latest poll, due Monday. “Significant” change in voter intentions, Mills tweeted on Friday and repeatedly over the weekend. It’s all fed a great deal of speculation. Someone fed the self-styled Hydroqueen internal Liberal
Continue readingPolitics and its Discontents: Hither And Thither
For a government whose every policy seems to be concocted with an eye to re-election, it is not surprising that Finance Minister Joe Oliver has not yet firmed up a date for this year’s budget. After all, he and the rest of the cabal need to know how effective their
Continue readingThe Sir Robert Bond Papers: A cunning plan it ain’t #nlpoli
The whole “Paul-Davis-Decisive-Leader” thing doesn’t seem to be working for the provincial Conservatives. The latest NTV/MQO poll puts the Liberals at 42, the Conservatives at 20 and the NDP at seven, with 30% undecided. In October 2014, it was Liberals 37, Conservatives 16, NDP six, and undecided at 40. In
Continue readingThe Sir Robert Bond Papers: Stragedy and Polls: Chop House version #nlpoli
Public opinion polls are a really useful thing in politics. The Liberals did a poll the weekend before the Liberals and Conservatives voted to slash public representation in the legislature. They bought into the scheme in largest part because it looked hugely popular. The problem with the poll results is
Continue readingThe Sir Robert Bond Papers: Decisive Moments in Politics #nlpoli
The NDP are down five points, the Liberals are up two and the Conservatives are up three, according to the latest Corporate Research Associates poll. Voters are abandoning the New Democrats who are down by one third from 15 points to 10. The Liberals and the Conservatives picked up those
Continue readingThe Sir Robert Bond Papers: The October 2014 NTV/MQO Poll Numbers #nlpoli
NTV commissioned NTV to poll opinion about the provincial Conservatives a month after Paul Davis took over as Premier. The party choice numbers are simple enough: Liberals at 37, Conservatives at 16, the NDP at just six percent, and undecided at 40. Leadership numbers Put Dwight Ball of the Liberals
Continue readingThe Sir Robert Bond Papers: The Stark Numbers #nlpoli
Anyone who wants to get insight into the political landscape in Newfoundland and Labrador need look no further than the Abacus poll commissioned by VOCM, the first bit of which was released on Thursday. Provincial Conservatives may be running around consoling themselves with all sorts of notions but the reality
Continue readingPolitics and its Discontents: Is Dear Leader Trending Downward?
I certainly hope so: Recommend this Post
Continue readingPolitics and its Discontents: Some Glum Faces At The Manning Centre
Clearly, it was not the kind of news they had gone to the Manning Centre to hear, and, it seems, they did not receive it with particular good grace. As reported in The Star, presenting the results of a poll he conducted in December, André Turcotte imparted the following to
Continue readingThe Sir Robert Bond Papers: Grits gain from Cons and Dippers #nlpoli
Premier Kathy Dunderdale doesn’t govern by polls. That’s what she told reporters – yet again – as they asked her about yet another poll that showed the provincial Conservatives aren’t doing so well with eligible voters. Then Kathy explained to reporters that the polls told her that she and her
Continue readingThe Sir Robert Bond Papers: CRA, Abacus, and the 2013 Nova Scotia General Election #nlpoli #nspoli
In the recent Nova Scotia General election, Corporate Research Associates and the Halifax Chronicle Herald teamed up to provide readers with a daily tracking poll. CRA was quick off the mark after the election to issue a news release defending its own polling, complete with the screaming headline that claimed
Continue readingThe Sir Robert Bond Papers: Libs up. Tories and Dippers steady. #nlpoli
By now you have all heard about the latest CRA August quarterly marketing poll. Fascinating stuff. Supposedly the Liberals grew at the expense of the New Democrats. You’d believe that too, unless you looked at CRA party choice numbers without the “decideds-only” skew. For your amusement, here is a convenient
Continue readingThe Sir Robert Bond Papers: The Blue Slide #nlpoli
Just flip over to labradore for a look at his latest pretty chart. It shows the compilation of poll results from various sources going back to early 2010 for the Conservatives, the New Democrats, and the Liberals in the province. On average, labradore tells us, the Conservatives have dropped five
Continue readingPolitics and its Discontents: A Glimmer of Hope?
Perhaps the Canadian electorate is salvageable, after all.Recommend this Post
Continue readingThe Sir Robert Bond Papers: More Hole Spotting #nlpoli
After the shock that evidently settled into the local Tories, the next most obvious thing about Thursday was the complete absence of any official provincial Tory anywhere saying anything about anything. The usual clan of Tory Twitter Spam Spitters – Sandy Collins, Steve Kent, Vaughan Granter, and Paul lane –
Continue readingThe Sir Robert Bond Papers: Hole-spotting: the Environics Poll Results #nlpoli
By now you have likely heard it all. In one corner are the raft of people trying to dismiss the Environics poll as an outlier, an aberration, the logical result of a tough political month. Nothing to sweat. Real Chip Diller kinda stuff. In the other corner, there are the
Continue readingPolitics and its Discontents: Are You Watching the Polls, Mr. Harper?
Oh, how I hope this news shakes up Harper’s arrogant smugness. Recommend this Post
Continue readingThe Sir Robert Bond Papers: More on the polling controversy #nlpoli #cdnpoli
Susan Delacourt, from The Star, December 30: Canada’s polling industry could be in for a shakeup in 2012, after some major knocks to its reputation in 2011. Regular readers will recall the controversy from the federal election and from the fall provincial election from the series on polling and politics.
Continue readingThe Sir Robert Bond Papers: Margin of error defined #nlpoli
Corporate Research Associates November 2011 omnibus: If a provincial election were held today in Newfoundland and Labrador, for which party would you vote? Progressive Conservative Party 60% CRA August 2011 omnibus: If a provincial election were held today in Newfoundland and Labrador, for which party would you vote? Progressive Conservative
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