Apparently, Donald Trump is the most unpopular American presidential candidate since 1992.The Toronto Star’s American correspondent produced a lovely article on Friday. It started with the results of a couple of recent comparisons showing how unp…
Continue readingTag: political polls
The Sir Robert Bond Papers: No change in party support numbers #nlpoli
Despite delivering bad news about the provincial government’s finances since taking office, the provincial Liberals continue to hold strong public support, according to the most recent poll by Corporate Research Associates. Support for all three …
Continue readingThe Sir Robert Bond Papers: Polls and Projections #nlpoli
If you want to get a sense of how accurate polls were in the last federal election take a look at the ones we have in public and compare those to the actual result on polling day. In each of the tables below, we are using the official vote for
Continue readingThe Sir Robert Bond Papers: The polls must be wrong #nlpoli
Over the past couple of weeks, some people have been questioning the accuracy of public opinion polls. People have questioned the polls in the federal election, especially after the defeat of two candidates in metro St. John’s a lot of people thought would win. The two polls released last week
Continue readingCuriosityCat: Red Tide moves towards Liberals in Quebec and in Ontario, says Nanos poll
The latest tracking by Nanos Research for CTV News and the Globe and Mail shows that, regionally:
- The Liberals lead in Atlantic Canada, with 52.1 per cent support, and in Ontario with 44 per cent support.
- The Conservatives lead in the Prairies, with 51.6 per cent support.
- In British Columbia, there is a tight race between the NDP (34.9 per cent) and the Liberals (34.3 per cent).
- The NDP lead in Quebec with 32.9 per cent, but support continues to slide.
CuriosityCat: Red Tide moves towards Liberals in Quebec and in Ontario, says Nanos poll
The latest Nanos tracking poll for Sunday October 4 is very good news indeed! Please make sure everyone you know who wants change on October 19 gets a copy of this and also shares it with all their friends. Here’s the vital Battleground Ontario results: And here’s what’s happening in
Continue readingCuriosityCat: Liberals surge to 43% in Battleground Ontario says Nanos
Nanos Nightly Election Tracking Highlights (3-day tracking ending October 2) – Federal Liberals trend up for last two nights of Nanos tracking
- National Ballot – In the latest Nanos tracking completed Friday evening the Liberals had 34.6% support followed by the Conservatives at 30.5%, the NDP at 25.1%, and the Greens at 4.8% nationally.
- Battleground Ontario – There has been a noticeable movement in one of the key battlegrounds in favour of the Liberals over the past two evenings of tracking. Support for the Liberals in battleground Ontario stands at 43.6% while the Conservatives are at 33.8%, the NDP at 18.6% and the Greens at 4.0%.
CuriosityCat: Liberals surge to 43% in Battleground Ontario says Nanos
Here’s the Nanos latest poll: Nanos Nightly Election Tracking Highlights (3-day tracking ending October 2) – Federal Liberals trend up for last two nights of Nanos tracking National Ballot – In the latest Nanos tracking completed Friday evening the Liberals had 34.6% support followed by the Conservatives at 30.5%, the
Continue readingCuriosityCat: The Signal for Oct 3: Non-Tory seats 202, Tory seats 134 Result? New government
If you have not bookmarked The Signal for your daily fix of the poll of polls, then do so immediately, and tell your friends to do so as well. As of today, October 3, a change of government on October 19 is even more certain than yesterday, because the LPC
Continue readingCuriosityCat: The Signal for Oct 3: Non-Tory seats 202, Tory seats 134 Result? New government
CuriosityCat: What will happen on election day? The Signal points the way: a change of government
Say welcome to a new poll of polls aggregator service named The Signal. It is one pollster that you will be checking on a daily basis in the 17 days left before our election on October 19. The Signal is a creation of Vox Pop Labs. This is how the
Continue readingCuriosityCat: What will happen on election day? The Signal points the way: a change of government
To gain a more precise picture of the voting landscape across the country, the Star has teamed with Vox Pop Labs, an independent research organization, to utilize their election forecasting tool, named The Signal.
Faith in pollsters’ findings has been tested in recent years, both home and abroad. After failed efforts to predict the Liberals win in the B.C. election of 2013, the Star asked “Why do pollsters keep getting it wrong?” Across the pond, British outlets pondered the same question only this year, when forecasters’ projections for the general election woefully undervalued support for David Cameron’s Conservative Party.
The important thing to note is this: The total of Liberal and NDP seats is 199, a huge margin over the projected seats of 137 for Harper’s ‘new’ Conservatives.
Politics and its Discontents: Hope Fades ……
It is becoming difficult to hold on to hope. Despite all we know about the Harper regime, despite all that has been written about its corruption, its abuse of power, its undermining of our democratic institutions, its insidious appeal to the worst in our natures, it seems to all be
Continue readingCuriosityCat: Liberals edge out NDP as most favoured party for the first time
IPSOS poll released today shows that for the first time in this election, Trudeau’s Liberal Party is now favoured by more voters than those thinking of voting for Mulcair’s NDP: With just four weeks to go before Canadians choose their next prime minister, burgeoning Liberal support in Ontario has pushed
Continue readingCuriosityCat: Debate confirms that Canada will have a new government on October 20
Here’s the Nanos latest poll, showing support at various times over the past 12 months: Where have the polls been? Check the listing of all 2015 polls at Poll Tracker for this. Run your eye down the percentages favouring the Conservatives in these 109 polls – can you spot any
Continue readingCuriosityCat: Nanos: Liberals forging ahead in Ontario and competitive with Tories in BC
Here are three diagrams from Nanos polling released at 6am on Friday September 18, that indicate the state of play. First, check out the incredible bunching of the three parties in recent weeks: Then there is the very important and game-winning Ontario standings of the parties – Liberals forging ahead
Continue readingCuriosityCat: Trudeau’s massive $125 Billion Infrastructure Plan gains traction among voters
Nick Nanos Just in time for the second debate tonight, Nanos has come out with a poll dealing with voters’s views of what is needed to stimulate the economy. You can link to the Nanos study through the Toronto Star article. IT IS WORTH READING, AND WORTH SHARING. What
Continue readingCuriosityCat: Justin (Just not ready) Trudeau more ready than Harper is, poll says
“I told you I’m not perfect …” Nanos polls voters daily to find out their views on the election. One question in the latest poll was which of the leaders had the qualities of a good political leader. Guess what? Harper ranked below Mulcair and Trudeau: Qualities of a good
Continue readingCuriosityCat: Mulcair & Trudeau both fishing for votes in the same size pools
But Harper is fishing in a far smaller pool, according to Abacusdata: The whole Abacusdata poll is fascinating and worth studying, and, of course, sharing with friends, colleagues and Tories. This election is one for the record books! Roll on October 19; with some 76% of Canadians wanting a change
Continue readingCuriosityCat: Battleground Ontario is moving into Liberal camp says Nanos
The kiss of death? The latest Nanos poll for CTV shows a three way split between the LPC, CPC and NDP. However, the Liberal grip on their heartland of Atlantic Canada remains firm; while the NDP has a clear majority in Quebec. The key battleground is now the biggest province,
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