CuriosityCat: UK Election – my forecast? A new government lead by Labour’s Corbyn as MP

Now’s a good time to stick my neck out and forecast that come June 8, PM May will be booted out of power and replaced shortly thereafter by a new Labour government, with Corbyn as Prime Minister. Here’s the latest Yougov forecast, which shows May’s Tories at 310 votes (16 shy of the majority of ...

Blast Furnace Canada Blog: Prediction

Nothing partisan, I assure you. But it’s obvious that unless hell freezes over we’re looking at a minority situation – no one will get the magic number of 170. This is what I think will happen Monday: Liberals – 143 Conservatives – 135 NDP – 51 Bloc – 8 Green – 1 I simply think ...

Blast Furnace Canada Blog: Prediction

Nothing partisan, I assure you. But it’s obvious that unless hell freezes over we’re looking at a minority situation – no one will get the magic number of 170. This is what I think will happen Monday: Liberals – 143 Conservatives – 135 NDP – 51 Bloc – 8 Green – 1 I simply think ...

Blast Furnace Canada Blog: Prediction

Nothing partisan, I assure you. But it’s obvious that unless hell freezes over we’re looking at a minority situation – no one will get the magic number of 170. This is what I think will happen Monday: Liberals – 143 Conservatives – 135 NDP – 51 Bloc – 8 Green – 1 I simply think ...

Scott's DiaTribes: Alberta politics suddenly got unpredictably whacky

So Jim Prentice was a virtual lock to win this election a couple of months ago… at least in the eyes of the pundits, particularly after Danielle Smith and half of her Wild Rose Party defected. Suddenly, after a very unpopular budget.. things look extremely unpredictable: An Alberta election that once looked like a Tory ...

Canadian Progressive: Bad News: Two Polls Give Harper Conservatives Edge Over News Democrats

As the Canadian Parliament returns for what promises to be another acrimonious session, two opinion polls show that the Harper Conservatives hold a slight lead over Thomas Mulcair’s New Democrats. The Canadian Press Harris-Decima poll pegs Conservative support at 34 per cent, the New Democrats at 27, the Liberals at 24 and the Greens at seven. According ...

Canadian Progressive: New Democrats And Conservatives Tied at 34% each: Poll

The poll by Toronto-based Forum Research Inc is bad news for Tom Mulcair and the NDP. Real bad news for Canadian democracy. According to the National Post: With these voting intentions, an election today would see the Tories take 140 seats for a minority in Parliament while the NDP would grab 114 seats. Just last month, those surveyed would have ...