This and that for your Tuesday reading. – Aditya Chakrabortty comments on the stunning turnaround experienced by the UK city of Preston after it startedContinue reading
When the narrative is against you, events don’t matter — they’ll be twisted to suit the desired message no matter what. Such is the caseContinue reading
When the narrative is against you, events don’t matter — they’ll be twisted to suit the desired message no matter what. Such is the case these days with Justin Trudeau and the Liberal Party, and Sunday’s nomination in Eglinton-Lawrence offers a compelling case study.
As you probably know, some months back former Conservative MP Eve Adams crossed the floor to join the Liberal caucus. Told she had to seek an open nomination, she opted to run in a riding where she had no roots — Eglinton-Lawrence — as there was already a Liberal candidate nominated at the time in her home riding. A local Liberal, Marco Mendicino, was already seeking the nomination in Eglinton-Lawrence. After a long delay and a heated race, Mendicino won on Sunday — by some reports handily.
As we waited for the results, I tweeted this:
I predict pundits have 2 columns ready. 1 Adams wins shows noms not open. 2 Adams loses shows Libs reject Trudeau. #cdnpoli #EgLaw
— Jeff Jedras (@jeffjedras) July 26, 2015
And as you can guess, with Mendicino’s win they went for option 2. It was entirely predictable. Heads the pundits win, tails Justin loses. Tim Harper’s column is representative of the spin across social media and pundit land this morning. Haters gonna hate, and they were going to hate either way.
Just for fun, let’s try to look at this logically. Fact is if Trudeau really wanted Adams as the candidate, she’d be the candidate. He’d either have appointed her or fixed the race to ensure she won. Mendicino would have had swathes of memberships mysteriously disallowed or disappeared. People would have been strongly encouraged to not support his campaign. There were plenty of levers they could have pulled. They pulled none of them. Besides leaving the nomination call to second-last in the GTA (Thornhill remains) no process or other levers were used to support the supposedly favoured candidate. And Mendicino had the support of past (interim) leader Bob Rae and a lot of active establishment Liberals who, if Adams was really the hard Trudeau choice, wouldn’t have gone near his campaign.
The argument for option 2 also relies on Adams being “Trudeau’s choice.” Let’s examine that logically too, shall we? The only way Trudeau could have headed off this damned either way scenario is if he hadn’t have let Adams cross the floor to the Liberal caucus. She was hardly a big get and her Liberal bonafides were questionable at best, but the opportunity to pick up an MP at Harper’s expense is hard to pass up. And if he’d blocked her he’d have taken flack for that too; don’t kid yourself.
So now that we accept she’s coming onboard, of course he has to have a press conference with her — only Prime Minister Harper is allowed to never talk to the press without consequence. And of course he is going to say positive things about her — what, is he going to say I don’t like her but welcome to our caucus? But he took pains to make clear that she would have to face an open nomination and he would pick no favourites. So all the “Trudeau’s choice” arguments are predicated on the fact he had a press conference to welcome a new MP to the caucus. It just doesn’t hold up to scrutiny.
Of course, logic doesn’t help you when the gods of the narrative aren’t on your side. So be it. To quote a great philosopher, haters gonna hate. Liberals just need to shake it off. The pundits will move on to the next tortured story soon. And no narrative is forever — a year ago they’d decided the man walked on water.
Meanwhile, in Mendicino Liberals have a candidate with deep local roots and the Liberal grassroots behind him that is best positioned to take on and defeat Joe Oliver. And none of the rest matters.Continue reading
I’ve tried to hold my tongue through David Bertschi’s dramatic performances through the nomination process, but after his conduct at the Ottawa-Orleans nomination on theContinue reading
This and that for your Thursday reading. – Oxfam studies the spread of extreme inequality around the globe, as well as the policies needed toContinue reading
… vying for Liberal Party nominations. My political junkiness kicks into high gear usually about 12-18 months ahead of a projected election date. I love elections.Continue reading
This and that for your Thursday reading. – Linda McQuaig criticizes the Cons’ use of the tax system to try to silence charities who don’tContinue reading
Here, contrasting the NDP’s hard-fought Regina nomination elections against the stories of Paul Manly, Chris Rendell, and the apparent trend of federal and provincial NDPContinue reading
The drama around the revelation that only those with pro-choice views (incumbents exempted) will be allowed to run for Liberal Party of Canada nominations hasContinue reading
This and that for your Thursday reading. – Crawford Kilian discusses the growing influence of Thomas Piketty’s observations about wealth inequality and the unfairness ofContinue reading
Assorted content for your weekend reading. – Andrew Coyne sees the powerful impact of local forces on nomination contests as evidence that grassroots democracy isContinue reading
It’s always fun when a friend throws their hat in the political ring, and so it was an honour Sunday to venture up to AuroraContinue reading
Hey, before you take a look at who has come out of the wood work early to run for nominations, why don’t you take aContinue reading
While the 2015 federal election is a long ways off (if Stephen Harper actually sticks to his fixed election date law, that is), in aContinue reading
This and that for your Sunday reading. – Matt Taibbi discusses how public pension funds are being looted for the benefit of a few well-connectedContinue reading
I’m a big proponent of open riding nominations. During the Liberal leadership race, I was proud when my candidate released an extensive party reform proposalContinue reading
Neither the ONDP or GPO have nominated a particularly large slate so far, so I combined them here.The NDP haven’t nominated a whole lot of candidates so far as I can tell, and they so far seemed to have focused on the GTA. I could only find one notice …Continue reading
Click the link for full sized version: http://i53.tinypic.com/2r4h2tk.png The most colour-complex map, for start. The PC’s have nominated almost all of their caucus, with only Steve Clark of Leeds-Grenville, Jerry Ouellette of Oshawa, and leader Tim Hu…Continue reading
So on a whim, I decided to whip up some tracking maps of each party’s nomination progress, as far as I could tell. You’ll probably want to click on the maps for full size, and to tell the colour shades apart. I’ve decided to include Sarah Thompson’s ru…Continue reading