We see chaos, Nik Nanos sees trends. Mr Nanos heads up Nanos Research, a leading Canadian research company and official pollster for CTV News, the Globe and Mail, and Bloomberg News. Last week he spoke at the Merv Leitch Lectures Series sponsored by the University of Calgary. His topic—politics in
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Accidental Deliberations: On relativity
Since we’re seeing another wave of hysteria about Tom Mulcair’s support in the general public as the NDP’s convention approaches, let’s check in with the main poll being cited for the thesis that there’s some imminent issue with his popular support. An…
Continue readingAccidental Deliberations: New column day
Here, taking a look at the voter pools the NDP will be looking to win over in order to come out ahead in if this fall’s federal election turns into a two-party race. And I’ll note that while Alberta may serve as the most recent precedent, similar patterns can be
Continue readingAccidental Deliberations: New column day
Here, expanding on this post about the new challenges the Cons are facing heading into this fall’s election. For further reading…– Geoffrey Stevens offers his own take on the Cons’ weaknesses. – Meanwhile, Nik Nanos (as reported by Theophilos Argitis) focuses on the possibility of vote splitting working to the
Continue readingPolitics and its Discontents: Is Dear Leader Trending Downward?
I certainly hope so: Recommend this Post
Continue readingPolitics and its Discontents: This Has Gotta Hurt
Expect the Harper attack machine to ramp up its game: Recommend this Post
Continue readingAccidental Deliberations: On decisive choices
Nanos’ latest poll on the parties under consideration by voters has received plenty of attention. But the discussion so far seems to miss the most plausible explanation for the poll results. Compared to previous polling, the latest survey shows:– little change in the actual support levels of Canada’s federal parties;
Continue readingAccidental Deliberations: Saturday Morning Links
Assorted content for your weekend reading. – Susan Delacourt comments on the role of robocalls in turning citizens away from politics – though it’s worth pointing out that the Cons may well see that as a desirable result to capitalize on a modest base of support: What may need more
Continue readingAccidental Deliberations: Saturday Morning Links
Assorted content for your weekend reading. – Erika Shaker points out how Quebec’s student protests are a natural and justified reaction to the policy choice to saddle young workers with debt: (T)he effects of student debt are not exactly “character building”. Postponement of owning a home or starting a family.
Continue readingDavid Climenhaga's Alberta Diary: Harper Conservative response to NDP seems delusional – and apparently ineffective
The Conservative Party’s Parliamentary brain trust figures out how to respond to Opposition Leader Thomas Mulcair during Question Period. Below: Nik Nanos. No one should be particularly shocked that yelps of protest by western premiers and Prime Minister Stephen Harper’s Conservatives in Ottawa have failed to dent support for the
Continue readingAccidental Deliberations: Thursday Morning Links
This and that for your Thursday reading. – Duncan Cameron discusses how the Cons have already taken Canada and the world in exactly the wrong direction. But Murray Dobbin points out that we should be working on how to change things for the better once they’re finally removed from office,
Continue readingConservative Nik Nanos: All that commotion over Robo-calls? Blame it on Harper haters.
The Conservatives’ favourite pollster Nik Nanos is a little miffed at the 64% who didn’t vote for Harper. This majority has come out en masse in social media to protest the Conservative government. But it’s all just child’s play according to Mr. Nanos, much like that silly prorogue thing. Mr.
Continue readingAccidental Deliberations: On subtle effects
I’m not the first to make the point, but I’ll briefly wade into the Frank Graves vs. Nik Nanos debate over Robocon by noting why this may be a scandal which may have far more of an impact on Canadians’ perceptions than prorogation or contempt of Parliament. In those cases,
Continue readingAccidental Deliberations: Monday Morning Links
Miscellaneous material for your Boxing Day reading – with plenty of interesting news below the headlines. – Naturally the Globe and Mail’s headline focuses on a modest dip (to a 14-point lead) in Quebec rather than the NDP’s strong national performance. But the more noteworthy development in the latest Nanos
Continue readingAccidental Deliberations: Wednesday Morning Links
Miscellaneous material for your mid-week reading.- Nanos confirms that even as cities are starting to crack down on the Occupy movement, the general public is highly sympathetic to the message about reining in inequality and corporate control:The Nanos…
Continue readingAccidental Deliberations: Leading nowhere
After several months of interim NDP leader Nycole Turmel being neatly edited out of far too much coverage of Canadian politics, it shouldn’t come as too much surprise that she’s behind Bob Rae in the latest Nanos leadership polling. But I’d think the m…
Continue readingAccidental Deliberations: Untrusted
Daniel Leblanc emphasizes the even lower score for Quebec’s provincial government in Nik Nanos’ trust barometer. But isn’t it rather striking that the Cons’ federal government – which has supposedly enjoyed a free ride since winning a majority – is sti…
Continue readingAccidental Deliberations: Thursday Morning Links
This and that for your Thursday reading.- Aaron Wherry takes a look at how the NDP caucus has responded to Jack Layton’s death and the resulting outpouring of public sympathy:After Jack Layton had departed Parliament Hill for the final time last week, …
Continue readingAccidental Deliberations: Wednesday Morning Links
Miscellaneous material for your midweek reading.- The Star skewers the Cons’ insistence on pushing ahead with bad budget choices:As the Star argued during the election, Canada needs progressive economic vision in the form of strategic investments in sc…
Continue readingAn Interesting Shift. Is It a Sign Of Things To Come?
Nik Nano’s most recent poll, which can be found here, shows an increase in all three parties on the leadership index. Interestingly enough, Harper seems to have lost 15 points and ceeded these points to the Bloc, Liberals and NDP.Below is Nano’s most r…
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