Bookies take odds on Alison Redford and Danielle Smith. Actual Alberta political observers may not be as willing to put their money where their mouths are. Below: The four similar, but nevertheless questionable, polls. A string of flaky polls augmented by some flaky behaviour by Premier Alison Redford and her
Continue readingTag: Forum Research
Blunt Objects: Forum Research – 37-28-25
If you need further proof that the robocalls scandal has either not hit its full stride yet, or has failed to capture the imagination of voters as a “true” scandal (despite its severity), you need not look further than Forum Research’s latest poll (changes from last Forum poll): Con: 37%
Continue readingBlunt Objects: Toronto-Danforth Polling!
308.com graphic And it’s exactly the same as what happened in May 2011! This is going to be an uneventful by-election. While it is a riding poll – they’re not always to be trusted – and the campaign has really only just begun (Feb 12), I’m not surprised in
Continue readingBlunt Objects: Forum Alberta Poll & 2012 Election Projections
Forum Research has another poll out for the Alberta provincial scene, showing a closer race than last time, with 37% PC, 30% Wildrose, 14% ALP, and 13% NDP. Note, however, that it’s entirely within the margin of error of Forum’s last poll, not to mention the last Abingdon Research poll,
Continue readingDavid Climenhaga's Alberta Diary: Forum poll revealed: With an iPhone and a blog, we can now predict poll results before they’re published!
Wildrose Party Leader Danielle Smith with the voice of Forum Research Inc. She’s smiling because she likes his answers. Alberta pollsters and politicians may not appear exactly as illustrated. Below: Dave, about to hang up on another poll. ForumPoll3 by djclimenhaga Forum Research Inc. of Toronto was back in the
Continue readingDavid Climenhaga's Alberta Diary: Latest Alberta poll shows Redford Conservatives with commanding lead
Say it ain’t so! Giant Redford Tory electoral machine crushes everything in its path! Even the ship of state! (Stephen Carter’s electoral schemes may not be exactly as illustrated.) Below: Alison Redford, Tom “Firewall” Flanagan. As predicted more than once in this space, a methodologically trustworthy public opinion poll has
Continue readingBlunt Objects: Climenhaga’s Wrong on Forum Polls
This. This article by David Climenhaga on the recent Forum poll, who is an otherwise excellent writer out of Alberta, is another reason why I can’t read Rabble.ca for any length of time without having a meltdown. The entire premise by Climenhaga is that Forum’s two recent polls – one
Continue readingBlunt Objects: New Forum Poll for Alberta
The new poll done by Forum Research in the provincial scene in Alberta shows much what they did last December, with 38% PC (=), 29% Wildrose (+6), 14% Lib (+2), 13% NDP (=), and 3% Alberta Party (-3). Minor differences, all changes except one within the 3% MOE – that
Continue readingScott's DiaTribes: Polls: Bob Rae may be gaining support, and marijuana is popular
Those are the findings of one specific poll. First the poll #’s and the pollster’s speculation: Buoyed by high approval ratings for interim leader Bob Rae, support for the federal Liberals is on the rise, according to a new poll. The Forum Research survey found support for Rae’s Liberals at
Continue readingBlunt Objects: Is This Actually BC? Eh?
I know the news is now somewhat old, but there was a funky Forum Research poll out on December 15th that showed the situation in British Columbia is a whole lot more complicated than first glance. The numbers show:34% BC NDP23% BC Liberal23% BC Conservative15% Green Wha… who… huh? That’s
Continue readingDavid Climenhaga's Alberta Diary: National Post poll bad news for Alberta Tories … in the unlikely event it’s right
A word of advice, boys: don’t bet all your kibbles on the results of a one-day demon-dialer poll! Alberta political analysts or the chances they take may not be exactly as illustrated. Toronto’s National Post – or, as I prefer to think of it, the National Pest – states in
Continue readingPushed to the Left and Loving It: About Those Forum Research Polls
The media seems to be obsessed with the Forum Research polls, the new guru of the polling industry.However, I received a call from them on the Ontario election and phoned them back, as they said I could, but never received a rely, as they promised I wo…
Continue readingBlunt Objects: OLP, PCPO – Intertwined not going anywhere fast
Two polls – one Angus Reid, one Forum (the latter being massive) – show that the Ontario Liberals and the Progressive Conservatives are stuck together like glue, though AR’s is a little lesss sticky.AR shows the race at 36% for the PCs, 32% for the OLP…
Continue readingScott's DiaTribes: Big new Ontario poll – deadlocked.
Very interesting – the Forum Research president apparently paid for this poll out of his own pocket. It’s a massive sample that shows a deadlocked Ontario legislature if it holds to election day:
A Forum Research survey of 40,750 people — one of the largest polling samples in Canadian political history — has the two parties separated by only 107 respondents, each holding 35 per cent. (14,064 said they will vote Liberal, while 13,957 selected the Conservatives.) Meanwhile, the New Democrats were at 23 per cent and the Green Party at 5 per cent.
For those wondering, this was an IVR poll – an interactive voice response one, which […]
Continue readingScott's DiaTribes: Toronto isn’t liking Hudak right now either
Another credible pollster – Forum Research – decided to take a poll specifically in Toronto, where conservative mayor Rob Ford and federal Conservatives had major breakthroughs of seats for varying reasons. The result isn’t the same at the moment for the provincial PC’s:
The party has slipped to third place in the city, dropping 10 percentage points since June 1 to 24 per cent support. The Liberals, who hold 19 of 23 seats in Toronto, is at 39 per cent, up from 34 per cent three months ago. The NDP, which has four seats here, has leapfrogged the Tories and is at 30 per cent up from 26 per […]
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