At this stage of the federal election campaign, the seemingly wide range of outcomes is entirely an artifice of a first-part-the-post system with multiple parties contending for seats. Barring a drastic change in the last week of the campaign (which will likely need to overcome votes already locked in as
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Accidental Deliberations: Thursday Morning Links
This and that for your Thursday reading. – Derrick O’Keefe writes about the possibilities raised by the B.C. NDP’s majority election win – as well as a need for far more ambition to achieve them. – Elise von Scheel reports on new polling results showing that no matter how desperately
Continue readingAccidental Deliberations: Canada 2019 – Election Notes
With Canadians going to the polls tomorrow, I’ll offer a few thoughts on what to watch for on election day and beyond in a campaign whose early stability seems to have given way to some late shifts. First, a minority Parliament seems likely. But of all the predictions and expectations
Continue readingAccidental Deliberations: Leadership 2017 Links
The latest from the federal NDP’s leadership campaign as the first voting window closes. – Robin Sears frames the choice of members as being between a comfortable fit with Charlie Angus and a more ambitious option in Jagmeet Singh, while the Toronto Star’s editorial board offers its endorsement to Singh
Continue readingAccidental Deliberations: On power dynamics
Paul Wells offers his thoughts on what might happen if the Cons lead in the seat count in a minority Parliament. But I’d think it’s worth noting two other considerations to counter Wells’ take that the Cons could hold on with substantially less than half the seats in the House
Continue readingAccidental Deliberations: On separation anxieties
Following up on this post, let’s take a look at the first of Bob Hepburn’s theorized lines of attack against the NDP – which gets its own separate post since it needs to be analyzed in radically different ways depending on the party who launches it: Worse, the Conservatives are
Continue readingAccidental Deliberations: Burning question
So apparently this week’s Macleans debate went ahead despite the exclusion of a party leader with seats in Parliament who wanted to be heard. Which raises the question: how is it that Elizabeth May didn’t refuse to participate, as she demands everybody else do when the shoe is on the
Continue readingAccidental Deliberations: Unblocked
In response to the apparent return of Gilles Duceppe to federal politics, I’ll offer a quick rerun on the state of the Bloc Quebecois: Once the 1995 referendum was in the rear-view mirror, however, the Bloc recognized that it would need to stand for more than sovereignty alone. And so
Continue readingAccidental Deliberations: On political evolution
Both Chantal Hebert and the combination of Bruce Anderson and David Coletto have written recently about the state of federal politics in Quebec, with particular emphasis on what we can expect as the Bloc Quebecois appears to crumble. With that in mind, I’ll offer a quick reminder as to one
Continue readingAccidental Deliberations: On soft support
Ezra Klein discusses Ray LaRaja and Brian Schnaffer’s graph of U.S. donor policy preferences against political donations: Klein’s take involves a comparison between the graph and the U.S.’ discussion about political polarization. But it’s worth wondering to what extent the same theory might apply in Canada – and how they
Continue readingAccidental Deliberations: Saturday Morning Links
This and that for your weekend reading. – Plenty more commentators are taking a turn duly mocking the Cons’ Senate shenanigans. Here’s Tabatha Southey: In fact, Mr. Duffy lives and votes in Kanata, a suburb of Ottawa, in a home he purchased five years before he was appointed to the
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Continue readingAccidental Deliberations: On priorities
In addition to its eminently sensible proposal to give effect to the rights of indigenous Canadians, the NDP also introduced another bill yesterday – and one which looks to raise a few more questions. Lest there be any doubt, that question doesn’t have to do with whether Craig Scott’s bill
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Continue readingAccidental Deliberations: Saturday Morning Links
Assorted content for your weekend reading. – Susan Delacourt comments on the role of robocalls in turning citizens away from politics – though it’s worth pointing out that the Cons may well see that as a desirable result to capitalize on a modest base of support: What may need more
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Continue readingAccidental Deliberations: Monday Morning Links
Miscellaneous material for your Monday reading. – Janet Bagnall neatly dissects the Cons’ plan for dismantling public services: The Harper government is nothing if not predictable in how it goes about dismantling a program or service. It starts by denigrating the program and the program’s beneficiaries, and telling Canadians that
Continue readingThe Scott Ross: Does Stephen Harper Support Coalitions?
If coalitions are undemocratic and a threat to Canada, why hasn’t this strong stable Conservative majority government done anything to make sure they don’t ravage our nation? Simple, Stephen Harper supports coalitions. Just over three years ago Stephen Harper and members of his party said coalitions were a threat to
Continue readingAccidental Deliberations: On new challenges
Every so often, it seems to be necessary to remind the pundit class that there isn’t a reset button that will magically restore Canadian politics to where they were three or four election cycles ago. So let’s take a look at the theory that the Bloc should be the favourite
Continue readingAccidental Deliberations: Monday Morning Links
Miscellaneous material for your Boxing Day reading – with plenty of interesting news below the headlines. – Naturally the Globe and Mail’s headline focuses on a modest dip (to a 14-point lead) in Quebec rather than the NDP’s strong national performance. But the more noteworthy development in the latest Nanos
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