All Politics Is Local: The Return of…. Seat Projections!

Very exciting news boys and girls. I have resurrected my seat projections! If the election were called today, All Politics is Local projects: yet another Tory minority! The numbers for your interest:

CPC LPC NDP BQ IND
National 147 83 35 42 1
NL 0 6 1 0 0
PE 0 4 0 0 0
NS 4 5 2 0 0
NB 6 3 1 0 0
QC 13 18 2 42 1
ON 52 39 15 0 0
MB 9 1 4 0 0
SK 13 1 0 0 0
AB 28 0 0 0 0
BC 22 5 9 0 0
North 1 1 1 0 0

I haven’t run one of these in a while and frankly I think the data may be a spitting out a screwy result. The NDP surge in Quebec worries me, in terms of my accuracy. My model is better suited to slight shifts, not giant surges. Right now, my model is saying the NDP surge will come at the expense of the Bloc and might actually help the other two federalist parties. Could happen. The vote splits in Quebec will be fascinating come election night.

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Thuggish vandalism

CTV News: Bob Rae is latest victim of car tire vandalismSuch is the way of thinking of thugs and gangbangers, how violence and intimidation are the only necessary tools in human relations. I hope the police catch the buggers involved, and fine them big…

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