Blast Furnace Canada Blog: My fearless prediction for Decision 2015

And here it is …remember the Magic Number is 170.

Liberals 143
Conservatives 132
NDP 55
Bloc 7
Green 1

My sense is that the Cons will do well at the expense of the NDP because large parts of Quebec are still socially conservative (especially rural areas), as well the "shy Tory" phenomenon – people who are polled simply lie about their intentions until they actually get to the polling station.

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