Here are DemocraticSPACE’s average projections for the Ontario election. Keep in mind that there is actually a range of outcomes (the #s below represent the average). Riding-by-riding projections are here: http://t.co/mx0ECWc9.
Province-Wide
Liberal – 60 seats (40.0%)
PC – 31 seats (34.2%)
NDP – 16 seats (21.0%)
Green – 0 seats (3.5%)
Northern Ontario
Liberal – 2 seats (31.9%)
PC – 1 seat (23.0%)
NDP – 7 seats (42.0%)
Green – 0 seats (1.5%)
Ottawa
Liberal – 5 seats (42.0%)
PC – 2 seats (35.9%)
NDP – 0 seats (15.4%)
Green – 0 seats (4.6%)
Eastern Ontario
Liberal – 3 seats (35.0%)
PC – 4 seats (47.3%)
NDP – 0 seats (13.5%)
Green – 0 seats (2.9%)
Central Ontario
Liberal – 2 seats (33.4%)
PC – 7 seats (46.4%)
NDP – 0 seats (13.8%)
Green – 0 seats (5.5%)
Midwestern Ontario
Liberal – 4 seats (35.1%)
PC – 6 seats (39.5%)
NDP – 0 seats (16.2%)
Green – 0 seats (5.6%)
Southwestern Ontario
Liberal – 8 seats (38.6%)
PC – 3 seats (33.5%)
NDP – 0 seats (23.8%)
Green – 0 seats (3.1%)
Hamilton/Niagara
Liberal – 4 seats (33.4%)
PC – 3 seats (35.9%)
NDP – 4 seats (27.1%)
Green – 0 seats (2.9%)
The 905
Liberal – 15 seats (44.2%)
PC – 5 seats (36.1%)
NDP – 0 seats (15.5%)
Green – 0 seats (3.1%)
Toronto
Liberal – 17 seats (48.6%)
PC – 0 seats (23.2%)
NDP – 5 seats (23.3%)
Green – 0 seats (3.0%)