PRE-WRIT RIDING BREAKDOWN – BLOC QUEBECOIS

BLOC QUEBECOIS (as of 25 Mar)

SAFE (> 10 pt ahead) = 40
>>> absolute minimum = 40 seats
STRONG (5-10 pt ahead) = 3
>>> likely low = 43 seats
LEANING (< 5 pt ahead) = 6
>>> current average = 49 seats
CLOSE (< 5 pts behind) = 5
>>> likely high = 54 seats
POSSIBLE (5-10 pts behind) = 2
>>> absolute maximum = 56 seats

(40) SAFE (> 10 pt ahead)
QC Abitibi-Baie James
QC Abitibi-Temiscamingue
QC Argenteuil-Papineau-Mirabel
QC Bas-Richelieu-Nicolet-Bécancour
QC Beauharnois-Salaberry
QC Berthier-Maskinongé
QC Chambly-Borduas
QC Châteauguay-Saint-Constant
QC Compton-Stanstead
QC Drummond
QC Gaspésie-Îles-de-la-Madeleine
QC Hochelaga
QC Joliette
QC La Pointe-de-l’Île
QC Laurentides-Labelle
QC Laurier-Sainte-Marie
QC Longueuil-Pierre Boucher
QC Manicougan
QC Marc-Aurèle-Fortin
QC Montcalm
QC Montmorency-Charlevoix
QC Louis-Hébert
QC Québec
QC Repentigny
QC Richmond-Arthabaska
QC Rimouski-Neigette-Témis.-Les Basques
QC Rivière-des-Milles-Îles
QC Rivière-du-Nord
QC Rosemont-La Petit Patrie
QC Saint-Maurice-Champlain
QC Shefford
QC Sherbrooke
QC Saint-Bruno-Saint-Hubert
QC Saint-Hyacinthe-Bagot
QC Saint-Jean
QC Saint-Lambert
QC Terrebonne-Blainville
QC Trois Rivières
QC Vaudreuil-Soulanges
QC Verchères-Les Patriotes

(3) STRONG (5-10 pt ahead)
QC Alfred-Pellan
QC Chicoutimi-Le Fjord
QC Laval

(6) LEANING (< 5 pt ahead)
QC Ahuntsic
QC Brome-Missisquoi
QC Gatineau
QC Haute-Gaspésie-La Mitis-Matane-Matapédia
QC Jeanne-Le Ber
QC Portneuf-Jacques-Cartier

(5) CLOSE (< 5 pts behind)
QC Beauport-Limoilou
QC Brossard-La Prairie
QC Montmagny-L’Islet-Kamouraska-RDL
QC Papineau
QC Roberval-Lac Saint Jean

(2) POSSIBLE (5-10 pts behind)
QC Charlesbourg-Haute Saint-Charles
QC Jonquiere-Alma